Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Mystery Dungeon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Mystery Dungeon?

Investigation + Mystery Dungeon

Of 31 developers who shipped an Investigation Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $7.7k, ×16 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 35 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 35 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Mystery Dungeon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $1.2k → $479 → $1.4k → $599 → $90 → $1.5k (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Mystery Dungeon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $358 (exactly $358)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Top 5% $7.8k (exactly $7,780)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 83
Announced 35
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation, Mystery Dungeon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 232 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $7.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Classrooms · EA older $12.99 3,040 89% 91k $1.2M (exactly $1,184,688) Xefier Games, Hillcrest Games Inc.
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 older $4.99 431 80% 13k $65k (exactly $64,521) Chilla's Art
Rooms of Realities older $17.99 53 94% 1.6k $29k (exactly $28,604) Bluekey
Haunted Investigation older $3.99 206 83% 6.2k $25k (exactly $24,658) Interactive Wave Studios
EXIT - The Curse of Ophir older $7.99 78 84% 2.3k $19k (exactly $18,697) Nementic Games
EXIT The Game – Trial of the Griffin older $7.99 71 84% 2.1k $17k (exactly $17,019) Nementic Games
The Strange Story Of Brian Fisher: Chapter 2 $14.99 34 94% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Intetic
LiMiT's Escape Room Games older $3.99 104 66% 3.1k $12k (exactly $12,449) Marco Hirschfeld
LiMiT's Escape Room Games 2 older $11.99 34 94% 1.0k $12k (exactly $12,230) Marco Hirschfeld
DreamBreak older $6.99 48 56% 1.4k $10k (exactly $10,066) Fortell Games
Slendrina Remake $3.99 65 63% 2.0k $7.8k (exactly $7,780) GearMech
They See Us $3.99 60 85% 1.8k $7.2k (exactly $7,182) MalumGames
Quantum Sleeper $8.99 18 100% 540 $4.9k (exactly $4,855) Helm Boy Studios
10 Beautiful Postcards $6.99 19 100% 570 $4.0k (exactly $3,984) Harmony Corp
Collateral Dungeon $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Techosaurus Studios
Black Tower Enigma $7.99 10 100% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Ogre Pixel
Crimson Mansion $11.99 6 50% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Bence Pachinger-Molnár
Oldest Golden Treasure $14.99 4 75% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Vasil4N
Forlorn: The mysteries of Highshadowland $9.99 6 66% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) The Spiteful Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.