Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Investigation game?

Investigation + Magic

Of 45 developers who shipped a Magic Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 123 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×360 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 123 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 123 announced, ×6.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $18k → $240 → $1.9k → $2.6k → $2.3k → $2.5k → $629 (still earning) → $6.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,888)
Top 25% $6.0k (exactly $5,990)
Top 5% $171k (exactly $170,932)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 199
Announced 123
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Investigation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 2,271 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 123 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wytchwood older $19.99 4,030 92% 121k $2.4M (exactly $2,416,791) Alientrap
1666: Amsterdam · EA $29.99 784 63% 24k $705k (exactly $705,365) Panache Digital Games
Ghost Town $24.99 565 95% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) Fireproof Games
The Inquisitor older $39.99 277 66% 8.3k $332k (exactly $332,317) The Dust S.A.
Logiart Grimoire older $19.99 336 94% 10k $201k (exactly $201,499) Jupiter Corporation
The End of the Sun $24.99 228 97% 6.8k $171k (exactly $170,932) The End of the Sun Forge
Haunted House Renovator $19.99 197 45% 5.9k $118k (exactly $118,141) Image Power S.A.
CLeM older $15.99 239 92% 7.2k $115k (exactly $114,648) Mango Protocol
Infinite Lives $14.99 217 76% 6.5k $98k (exactly $97,585) MDickie
Time Lock VR 2 older $12.99 170 88% 5.1k $66k (exactly $66,249) WR-VRG
Bookbinding – Dark Cozy Sim $12.99 138 68% 4.1k $54k (exactly $53,779) NDApolis
Occulto · EA $14.99 23 73% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Sirio Art Games
Mad Experiments: Escape Room - Sanctuary $6.99 47 65% 1.4k $9.9k (exactly $9,856) PlayTogether Studio
Cozy Holes $9.99 26 69% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) FlashPoint Games, LLC
Cloud Cats` Land $4.99 46 97% 1.4k $6.9k (exactly $6,886) Gryphon`s Nest

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.