Do I ship it?

GamesProgrammingProgramming + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Programming Interactive Fiction?

Programming + Interactive Fiction

Only 10 developers shipped a Programming Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, HackHub - Ultimate Hacker Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $470k, ×1005 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 21 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 21 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Programming + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Programming + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,794)
Top 5% $478k (exactly $477,589)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 26
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Programming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Programming, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 86% positive over 1,115 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $470k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 21 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Programming with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Base BuildingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + Auto BattlerFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair24 devs · median $9.3k · 28 announced
  4. + SandboxFair60 devs · median $7.0k · 71 announced
  5. + Time ManagementFair15 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  6. + AutomationFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  7. + Turn-Based TacticsFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  8. + SimulationFair132 devs · median $2.2k · 174 announced
  9. + RobotsFair24 devs · median $1.8k · 29 announced
  10. + CrimeFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 13 announced
  11. + Sci-fiFair56 devs · median $1.7k · 63 announced
  12. + FuturisticFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 25 announced

All 57 pairs on the Programming page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HackHub - Ultimate Hacker Simulator $16.99 937 88% 28k $478k (exactly $477,589) HotBunny
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 older $4.99 431 80% 13k $65k (exactly $64,521) Chilla's Art
Word Game World $11.99 114 62% 3.4k $41k (exactly $41,006) Team9
Open Sorcery older $3.99 310 98% 9.3k $37k (exactly $37,107) Abigail Corfman
World Wide Hack · EA older $16.99 69 60% 2.1k $35k (exactly $35,169) Lotus Innovations
Open Sorcery: Sea++ older $14.99 52 92% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Abigail Corfman
Code Romantic older $9.99 53 96% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,884) prettysmart games
Blackdoor $12.99 20 85% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) Static Signal
VSCS-II older $9.99 22 90% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Oliver Morrish
Extortion older $4.99 25 88% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) Dysnomia
The Amateur Deity Society $4.99 20 100% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Robert Carlson
HyperDissonance $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) meta, autoselff
OneOne $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Abyss Tech
HELLO HACKER $5.99 5 100% 150 $898 (exactly $898) h3ll0h4ck3r
wageslave $5.49 3 100% 90 $494 (exactly $494) Cauldron Games
莫待无花空折枝:做题家的 Git 重启日志 $2.50 4 100% 120 $300 (exactly $300) 西江仙客
N-OS: Desktop Story · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Andrii Danchuk

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.