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Should I ship a Spelling Incremental game?
Incremental + Spelling
Only 10 developers shipped a Spelling Incremental game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Paper Bride 6 Nightmare, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 1 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $120. 9 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $300 (exactly $300) |
| Top 25% | $538 (exactly $538) |
| Top 5% | $111k (exactly $110,589) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 1 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 220% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
- Spelling
- effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 1 / 10 · text and UI only
- Systems
- Incremental, Spelling
- Price point
- $2.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 82% positive over 438 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Incremental with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + OtomeStrong odds
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + FarmingFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + LootFair
- + SupernaturalFair
Comparable games
Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes 2023 · $182k 
Paper Bride 6 Nightmare 2024 · $111k 
Learn Japanese Kana & Vocab with Sushi 2025 · $7.6k 
Ragnar's Chinese Memory Game 2020 · $5.9k 
Tranquil Builds 2024 · $1.7k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes | older | $9.99 | 606 84% | 18k | $182k (exactly $181,618) | HeartBeat Plus |
| | Paper Bride 6 Nightmare | $9.99 | 369 81% | 11k | $111k (exactly $110,589) | HeartBeat Plus | |
| | Learn Japanese Kana & Vocab with Sushi | $7.00 | 36 91% | 1.1k | $7.6k (exactly $7,560) | The Farting Cat | |
| | Ragnar's Chinese Memory Game | older | $5.99 | 33 100% | 990 | $5.9k (exactly $5,930) | Ragnar Brynjúlfsson |
| | Tranquil Builds | older | $1.99 | 29 100% | 870 | $1.7k (exactly $1,731) | Big Village Games Ltd |
 | Milky Way Map | older | $0.99 | 41 85% | 1.2k | $1.2k (exactly $1,218) | Wijat |
 | Educational Suite | older | $1.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $776 (exactly $776) | Dayra Studio |
 | Phantom Typist | older | $2.89 | 7 85% | 210 | $607 (exactly $607) | Wysiwyg Interactive |
 | Word95 | $2.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $538 (exactly $538) | Rinanda Hidayat | |
 | Unstimulated Simulator | $0.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $535 (exactly $535) | Shotsy Enterprise | |
 | Word Rave | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Gobico |
 | Chromapix | $1.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $298 (exactly $298) | Catnip studio | |
 | VerbMeister | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | Alpen Adria Forge | |
 | I AM A ROBOT | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Yo!Games | |
 | Nippon Dojo | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Game Over Productions Inc. | |
 | ENTER | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Erik Ebel |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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