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Should I ship a Science Incremental game?
Incremental + Science
Of 33 developers who shipped a Science Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 27 developers shipped in the last year and 43 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $359 (exactly $359) |
| Top 25% | $4.4k (exactly $4,396) |
| Top 5% | $94k (exactly $94,462) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 33 |
| Released games | 78 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 350% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
- Science
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Incremental; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Idler, Management
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,553 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + OtomeStrong odds
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + FarmingFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + LootFair
- + SupernaturalFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Data Center | $8.99 | 916 76% | 27k | $247k (exactly $247,045) | Waseku | |
| | The House of Da Vinci VR | $24.99 | 126 93% | 3.8k | $94k (exactly $94,462) | Blue Brain Games | |
| | The Birth of an Artificial Intelligence | older | $34.99 | 54 77% | 1.6k | $57k (exactly $56,684) | 基本操作PlayClass |
| | PC Creator - PC Building Simulator | older | $5.99 | 196 65% | 5.9k | $35k (exactly $35,221) | CREATY |
| | 3D Math - Ultra | older | $4.99 | 218 92% | 6.5k | $33k (exactly $32,635) | Big Mind Games 9000 |
| | Lazy Galaxy | older | $4.99 | 188 78% | 5.6k | $28k (exactly $28,144) | Coldwild Games, Vladimir Slav, Elena Na… (Coldwild Games, Vladimir Slav, Elena Nazarenko) |
| | Dexter Stardust : Adventures in Outer Space | older | $9.99 | 93 94% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,872) | Dexter Team Games |
| | Fish Lab | $6.99 | 101 77% | 3.0k | $21k (exactly $21,180) | stonecodes | |
| | The Lab - Escape Room | older | $9.99 | 48 79% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,386) | Flat Cat Games |
| | Higgs Boson: Minimal Puzzle | older | $9.99 | 43 93% | 1.3k | $13k (exactly $12,887) | Remix Games |
| | Orebits | $6.99 | 42 66% | 1.3k | $8.8k (exactly $8,807) | Upgraded Studio | |
| | Incremental Orbits | $6.99 | 27 88% | 810 | $5.7k (exactly $5,662) | bytecatch | |
| | ORACLE: Humanity, Automated | · EA | $9.99 | 18 44% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | ZANKYO GAMES |
| | F.A.R.M.S.: Chill Factory | $7.99 | 22 72% | 660 | $5.3k (exactly $5,273) | Plema Crafts | |
| | MINERALS: Deep Core Mining | $6.99 | 23 78% | 690 | $4.8k (exactly $4,823) | THINK & FEEL | |
| | MEMOLOGY: ITALIAN BRAINROT | $0.99 | 148 91% | 4.4k | $4.4k (exactly $4,396) | hannibalnotdead, Gamesforfarm | |
| | MEME EXAM 2025 | $0.99 | 130 90% | 3.9k | $3.9k (exactly $3,861) | Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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