Games › Incremental › Incremental + Noir
Should I ship a Noir Incremental game?
Incremental + Noir
Of 29 developers who shipped a Noir Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $270. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 27 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) |
| Top 25% | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) |
| Top 5% | $88k (exactly $88,072) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 29 |
| Released games | 79 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 230% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
- Noir
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Incremental; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Point & Click, Puzzle
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 3,165 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + OtomeStrong odds
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + FarmingFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + LootFair
- + SupernaturalFair
Comparable games
Chicken Police - Paint it RED! 2020 · $974k 
Lost2 2022 · $663k 
Unfair Flips 2025 · $151k 
CLICKOLDING 2024 · $149k 
Mosaic of the Strange 2025 · $88k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Chicken Police - Paint it RED! | older | $19.99 | 1,624 94% | 49k | $974k (exactly $973,913) | The Wild Gentlemen |
| | Lost2 | older | $15.99 | 1,382 81% | 41k | $663k (exactly $662,945) | DSGame |
| | Unfair Flips | $1.99 | 2,523 88% | 76k | $151k (exactly $150,623) | HEATHER FLOWERS | |
| | CLICKOLDING | older | $2.99 | 1,662 81% | 50k | $149k (exactly $149,081) | Strange Scaffold |
| | Mosaic of the Strange | $12.99 | 226 92% | 6.8k | $88k (exactly $88,072) | Mark Ffrench | |
 | The Kindeman Remedy | older | $4.99 | 270 67% | 8.1k | $40k (exactly $40,419) | Troglobytes Games |
 | Phantom Tentacle | older | $1.99 | 647 85% | 19k | $39k (exactly $38,626) | LSP GAME |
 | Boxed Girl | $4.99 | 166 72% | 5.0k | $25k (exactly $24,850) | エデン&イブ | |
 | NoseBound | $14.99 | 36 86% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $16,189) | Quarantine Interactive | |
 | Dad's Monster House 2: MEDAL | $4.99 | 80 78% | 2.4k | $12k (exactly $11,976) | Cotton Game | |
 | The Midnight Crimes | $10.99 | 20 60% | 600 | $6.6k (exactly $6,594) | DeadlyCrow Games | |
 | No Vacancy Tonight | $8.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $6.5k (exactly $6,473) | Momiji Games | |
 | Just One More Link | $6.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) | Blagine | |
 | Streetlight Syndicate | $6.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | BeagleGuy | |
 | Green Pond Town | $1.99 | 55 74% | 1.7k | $3.3k (exactly $3,284) | Cotton Game |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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