Do I ship it?

GamesIncrementalIncremental + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Incremental game?

Incremental + Mythology

Of 43 developers who shipped a Mythological Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 65% on the market; 31 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 31 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Incremental + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $53k → $5.4k → $299 → $839 → $2.2k → $2.2k → $898 (still earning) → $356 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Incremental + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $838 (exactly $838)
Top 25% $5.9k (exactly $5,930)
Top 5% $107k (exactly $106,693)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 90
Announced 31
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Incremental; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Idler, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Stylized, Hand-drawn
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 5,294 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $840, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds15 devs · median $11k · 12 announced
  2. + OtomeStrong odds12 devs · median $7.0k · 11 announced
  3. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $6.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FarmingFair21 devs · median $5.9k · 23 announced
  5. + Dynamic NarrationFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  6. + MiningFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair140 devs · median $3.1k · 136 announced
  10. + UndergroundFair27 devs · median $3.0k · 35 announced
  11. + LootFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  12. + SupernaturalFair33 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced

All 188 pairs on the Incremental page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Microcivilization $17.99 1,437 78% 43k $776k (exactly $775,549) Ondrej Homola
xiuzhen idle $5.99 2,313 79% 69k $416k (exactly $415,646) 游戏养家工作室
The Eastern Sacrifice $9.99 356 55% 11k $107k (exactly $106,693) 五条虾仁(5 shrimps)
挂机神话 older $1.99 1,693 90% 51k $101k (exactly $101,072) 狮子
Mosaic of The Pharaohs $8.99 297 92% 8.9k $80k (exactly $80,101) Mark Ffrench
Reprisal Universe older $6.99 337 75% 10k $71k (exactly $70,669) electrolyte
Citizen of Rome - Dynasty Ascendant older $9.99 235 80% 7.1k $70k (exactly $70,430) Citizen of Life Games
Ancient Cultivatrix $8.99 240 67% 7.2k $65k (exactly $64,728) 五条虾仁(5 shrimps)
Egyptian Senet older $9.99 200 81% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Ezzat Studios
Reviver $8.99 202 91% 6.1k $54k (exactly $54,479) Cotton Game
Unlucky Mummy $4.49 281 84% 8.4k $38k (exactly $37,851) Karaclan
XXX Pussy House $6.99 66 71% 2.0k $14k (exactly $13,840) Dreamers Workshop
Knock on Fate:The Guardian Pusher $5.99 58 87% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,423) 刚正面的红领巾
Mosaica: Arboreal $4.99 44 81% 1.3k $6.6k (exactly $6,587) RymPow

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.