Games › Incremental › Incremental + Lovecraftian
Should I ship a Lovecraftian Incremental game?
Incremental + Lovecraftian
Only 18 developers shipped a Lovecraftian Incremental game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gamblers Table, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.7k, ×12 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×1305 the market median. Revenue is up 755% on the market; 26 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.7k (exactly $5,689) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $18,263) |
| Top 5% | $620k (exactly $619,664) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 755% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
- Lovecraftian
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Incremental; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Idler, Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Dark, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 3,961 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + OtomeStrong odds
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + FarmingFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + LootFair
- + SupernaturalFair
Comparable games
Gamblers Table 2026 · $620k 
I'm on Observation Duty 6 2023 · $235k 
The House of Da Vinci VR 2024 · $94k 
Fishing The Abyss 2024 · $88k 
Cyndy 2019 · $50k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Gamblers Table | $6.99 | 2,955 74% | 89k | $620k (exactly $619,664) | greenpixels, Bossforge | |
| | I'm on Observation Duty 6 | older | $11.99 | 652 94% | 20k | $235k (exactly $234,524) | Notovia, Dreamloop Games |
| | The House of Da Vinci VR | $24.99 | 126 93% | 3.8k | $94k (exactly $94,462) | Blue Brain Games | |
| | Fishing The Abyss | $6.99 | 421 95% | 13k | $88k (exactly $88,284) | umaaaaaa studio | |
| | Cyndy | older | $7.99 | 208 66% | 6.2k | $50k (exactly $49,858) | DreamBig Games |
 | Candlelight: Lament | older | $9.99 | 82 90% | 2.5k | $25k (exactly $24,575) | 正方形劳伦斯 |
 | Whisper of Y'Ryando | $7.99 | 89 70% | 2.7k | $21k (exactly $21,333) | IndieCain, YuetXD | |
 | SmashCore | $4.99 | 122 94% | 3.7k | $18k (exactly $18,263) | Braian | |
 | Strip 'Em II: Facka's Game | older | $14.99 | 38 81% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $17,089) | DreamBig Games, Lemonhaze Studio |
 | NoseBound | $14.99 | 36 86% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $16,189) | Quarantine Interactive | |
 | Cult of the Yellow King | · EA | $3.99 | 123 79% | 3.7k | $15k (exactly $14,723) | Metaphor Games, Newmind Interactive |
 | Hell Cleaners | · EA | $14.99 | 15 60% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | WFP Entertainment |
 | Kibble Cats | $4.99 | 38 89% | 1.1k | $5.7k (exactly $5,689) | Vozmog | |
 | Hail the Devourer | $4.99 | 36 66% | 1.1k | $5.4k (exactly $5,389) | Anchorhead Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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