Games › Match 3 › Match 3 + Idler
Should I ship an Idler Match 3?
Match 3 + Idler
Only 9 developers shipped an Idler Match 3 in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lucky Hunter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $450 against a market of $120. 10 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $2.3k (exactly $2,328) |
| Top 5% | $74k (exactly $74,216) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 69 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Match 3, Idler
- Price point
- $2.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 7 games average 86% positive over 608 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Match 3 with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + DemonsFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + ShooterFair
- + MagicFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + PvPLong shot
- + CombatLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
Wolf of Stock Street 2021 · $289k 
LOLLIPOP! 2021 · $197k 
Denos City: Complete Game 2022 · $78k 
Lucky Hunter 2024 · $74k 
Ink Reverie 2025 · $44k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wolf of Stock Street | older | $10.99 | 878 77% | 26k | $289k (exactly $289,477) | 樹懶叫工作室, sloth gamer |
| | LOLLIPOP! | older | $4.99 | 1,318 75% | 40k | $197k (exactly $197,305) | 430Games, __Ja__ga__imo__ |
| | Denos City: Complete Game | older | $11.99 | 217 70% | 6.5k | $78k (exactly $78,055) | Backhole |
| | Lucky Hunter | $5.99 | 413 89% | 12k | $74k (exactly $74,216) | 159 Studio | |
| | Ink Reverie | $9.99 | 146 74% | 4.4k | $44k (exactly $43,756) | Rolling Cat Studio | |
 | Story of Animal Sprite | older | $8.99 | 117 89% | 3.5k | $32k (exactly $31,555) | Lunaforge Studios |
 | SEX Tentacles [18+] | older | $3.99 | 181 57% | 5.4k | $22k (exactly $21,666) | Romantic Room |
 | Love Puzzle | older | $1.99 | 295 48% | 8.9k | $18k (exactly $17,612) | Romantic Room |
 | Last Lovers 绿洲之爱 | older | $8.99 | 39 79% | 1.2k | $11k (exactly $10,518) | P. G. 制作组, V.P. TEAM |
 | Kenshō | older | $3.99 | 40 90% | 1.2k | $4.8k (exactly $4,788) | FIFTYTWO |
 | Toffee Cats | $1.99 | 39 100% | 1.2k | $2.3k (exactly $2,328) | traint | |
 | 99 Games: Puzzle, Action, Strategy, Simulation, Casual, Roguelike, Shooter, RPG & More | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Chongqing Xishou Technology Co., Ltd | |
 | Space Bubbles Must Die! | $2.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | FobTi interactive | |
 | Suika Idle | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | GoldPumpkin Inc. | |
 | Dote On Me: Desktop Pet | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | HEJINJU | |
 | Desktop Blocks | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Nap Kitty Studio | |
 | Fantasy Memory: A Relaxing Match Game | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Boogygames Studios | |
 | Timber Trails Alpine Puzzle | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Boogygames Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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