Games › Match 3 › Match 3 + Historical
Should I ship a Historical Match 3?
Match 3 + Historical
Only 5 developers shipped a Historical Match 3 in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Jewel Match Dracula Collector's Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.6k against a market of $630. 4 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) |
| Top 25% | $9.7k (exactly $9,696) |
| Top 5% | $12k (exactly $11,752) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 4 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Match 3
- effort 2 / 10 · high · grid matching rules and cascades
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Match 3
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,895 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.6k. 4 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Match 3 with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + DemonsFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + ShooterFair
- + MagicFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + PvPLong shot
- + CombatLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
Tiny Civilization 2023 · $127k 
Gems of the Aztecs 2016 · $46k 
Zombie Solitaire 2 Chapter 1 2017 · $24k 
Furry Myth 🦁 2024 · $23k 
Furry Reich 🐺 2023 · $23k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Tiny Civilization | older | $1.99 | 2,134 92% | 64k | $127k (exactly $127,400) | 喜人一个 |
| | Gems of the Aztecs | older | $14.99 | 103 78% | 3.1k | $46k (exactly $46,319) | Wellore |
| | Zombie Solitaire 2 Chapter 1 | older | $8.99 | 90 70% | 2.7k | $24k (exactly $24,273) | rokaplay |
| | Furry Myth 🦁 | older | $4.99 | 153 84% | 4.6k | $23k (exactly $22,904) | Furry Dreams Lab |
| | Furry Reich 🐺 | older | $3.99 | 189 77% | 5.7k | $23k (exactly $22,623) | Furry Dreams Lab |
 | Tales of the Orient: The Rising Sun | older | $9.99 | 68 83% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $20,380) | Green Sauce Games |
 | Jewel Match Origins - Palais Imperial Collector's Edition | older | $9.99 | 59 89% | 1.8k | $18k (exactly $17,682) | Suricate Software |
 | Royal Gems | older | $14.99 | 29 75% | 870 | $13k (exactly $13,041) | 8floor |
 | Jewel Match Twilight 3 Collector's Edition | older | $9.99 | 42 95% | 1.3k | $13k (exactly $12,587) | Suricate Software |
 | Jewel Match Dracula Collector's Edition | $13.99 | 28 89% | 840 | $12k (exactly $11,752) | Suricate Software | |
 | ChronoBabes | $3.99 | 81 80% | 2.4k | $9.7k (exactly $9,696) | Vinci | |
 | Avalon Jewels | $9.99 | 12 75% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Anawiki Games | |
 | Towers Saga | $12.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) | Wise Up Games | |
 | Château Royale Jigsaw | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Boogygames Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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