Do I ship it?

GamesProgrammingProgramming + Hacking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hacking Programming game?

Programming + Hacking

Of 63 developers who shipped a Hacking Programming game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 90 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×383 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 90 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 90 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Programming + Hacking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 63
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $60k → $6.6k → $1.7k → $1.0k → $3.6k → $7.0k (still earning) → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Programming + Hacking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 63
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,574)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,988)
Top 5% $182k (exactly $181,730)
Developers, 2 yr 63
Released games 150
Announced 90
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Programming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Hacking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Programming; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Logic, Puzzle
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 3,621 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 90 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Programming with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Base BuildingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + Auto BattlerFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair24 devs · median $9.3k · 28 announced
  4. + SandboxFair60 devs · median $7.0k · 71 announced
  5. + Time ManagementFair15 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  6. + AutomationFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  7. + Turn-Based TacticsFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  8. + SimulationFair132 devs · median $2.2k · 174 announced
  9. + RobotsFair24 devs · median $1.8k · 29 announced
  10. + CrimeFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 13 announced
  11. + Sci-fiFair56 devs · median $1.7k · 63 announced
  12. + FuturisticFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 25 announced

All 57 pairs on the Programming page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hacknet older $9.99 16,910 93% 507k $5.1M (exactly $5,067,927) Team Fractal Alligator
Turing Complete · EA older $19.99 5,520 95% 166k $3.3M (exactly $3,310,344) LevelHead
SHENZHEN I/O older $14.99 3,746 95% 112k $1.7M (exactly $1,684,576) Zachtronics
Duskers older $19.99 2,304 90% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,381,709) Misfits Attic
Screeps: World older $19.99 1,934 86% 58k $1.2M (exactly $1,159,820) Screeps, LLC
Grey Hack · EA older $19.99 1,801 90% 54k $1.1M (exactly $1,080,060) Loading Home
Hacker Simulator older $24.99 1,230 74% 37k $922k (exactly $922,131) Save All Studio
EXAPUNKS older $19.99 1,378 96% 41k $826k (exactly $826,387) Zachtronics
TIS-100 older $6.99 3,391 97% 102k $711k (exactly $711,093) Zachtronics
Uplink older $11.99 1,771 89% 53k $637k (exactly $637,029) Introversion Software
HackHub - Ultimate Hacker Simulator $16.99 937 88% 28k $478k (exactly $477,589) HotBunny
ServiceIT: You can do IT $12.99 676 56% 20k $263k (exactly $263,437) picture4u
JOY OF PROGRAMMING - Software Engineering Simulator $17.99 378 76% 11k $204k (exactly $204,007) Prof. Scherer
IT Specialist Simulator · EA $13.99 433 74% 13k $182k (exactly $181,730) Pixel Team RED
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games
Quantum Odyssey · EA $17.99 141 92% 4.2k $76k (exactly $76,098) Quarks Interactive
AI Learns To Drive $7.49 208 95% 6.2k $47k (exactly $46,738) ActivationFunction
Hacker's Journey $4.99 228 76% 6.8k $34k (exactly $34,132) Electric Heart
Web Host Simulator · EA $24.99 42 26% 1.3k $31k (exactly $31,487) Chibum
Hard Chip · EA $14.99 68 91% 2.0k $31k (exactly $30,580) Elorth

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.