Do I ship it?

Games › PvE › PvE + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic PvE game?

PvE + Gothic

Of 44 developers who shipped a Gothic PvE game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 122 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $77; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×324 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 122 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 122 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $3.6k → $3.9k → $839 → $89 → $987 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $77 (exactly $77)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,086)
Top 5% $204k (exactly $203,714)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 84
Announced 122
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Hack and Slash
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 9,139 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $77, median $450, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $77. 8 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 122 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters 2022 · $15M Gloomwood 2022 · EA · $4.5M Crimson Moon 2026 · $1.7M Nunholy 2025 · $1.2M Alisa 2021 · $733k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters older $44.99 11,426 76% 343k $15M (exactly $15,421,672) Complex Games
Gloomwood · EA older $19.99 7,495 95% 225k $4.5M (exactly $4,494,752) Dillon Rogers, David Szymanski, Nate Be… (Dillon Rogers, David Szymanski, Nate Berens, Thomas Porta)
Crimson Moon $19.99 2,760 59% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,655,172) ProbablyMonsters
Nunholy $7.99 5,150 88% 155k $1.2M (exactly $1,234,455) Chowbie
Alisa older $17.99 1,358 89% 41k $733k (exactly $732,913) Casper Croes
Warhammer 40,000: Battle Sister older $19.99 596 70% 18k $357k (exactly $357,421) Soul Assembly Ltd
Erannorth Chronicles older $20.99 407 85% 12k $256k (exactly $256,288) Spyridon Thalassinos
Anima : The Reign of Darkness older $11.99 613 69% 18k $220k (exactly $220,496) Redeev
Tower of Kalemonvo $14.99 453 83% 14k $204k (exactly $203,714) osur
Terrordrome - Reign of the Legends $19.99 168 72% 5.0k $101k (exactly $100,750) Huracan Studio
Ash & Rust $19.99 85 63% 2.6k $51k (exactly $50,974) Ash and Rust Studios
Castle Doombad Classic $9.99 140 95% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,958) Grumpyface Studios
The Fortress $6.99 151 68% 4.5k $32k (exactly $31,665) Baryonyx Games
Claymores of the Lost Kingdom $9.99 83 67% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,875) Ultaan Games
The Story Page · EA $7.99 103 78% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,689) SPR-Games
Metavoidal $14.99 46 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Yellow Lab Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.