Games › Incremental › Incremental + Gothic
Should I ship a Gothic Incremental game?
Incremental + Gothic
Only 15 developers shipped a Gothic Incremental game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Journey to Incrementalia, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×282 the market median. Revenue is up 475% on the market; 24 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) |
| Top 25% | $68k (exactly $68,354) |
| Top 5% | $134k (exactly $133,832) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 475% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
- Gothic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Incremental; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Simulation, Strategy
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Linear, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,842 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + OtomeStrong odds
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + FarmingFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + LootFair
- + SupernaturalFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Journey to Incrementalia | $4.99 | 894 86% | 27k | $134k (exactly $133,832) | Adam Travers | |
| | Contract With The Devil | older | $14.99 | 243 71% | 7.3k | $109k (exactly $109,277) | AZ-Art Development Studio |
| | Alice's Gaze | $3.99 | 770 91% | 23k | $92k (exactly $92,169) | Starmoon Cat | |
| | IGNOBLE | $6.99 | 331 82% | 9.9k | $69k (exactly $69,411) | Retromagine | |
| | Big Tiddy Goth Baddie🖤⛓️ | $14.99 | 152 76% | 4.6k | $68k (exactly $68,354) | BanzaiProject | |
| | Goth Obsession: Touch Adventure | $2.99 | 560 81% | 17k | $50k (exactly $50,232) | Mora the Goth Girl | |
| | RoGlass | $9.99 | 88 98% | 2.6k | $26k (exactly $26,374) | James Castle | |
| | Candlelight: Lament | older | $9.99 | 82 90% | 2.5k | $25k (exactly $24,575) | 正方形劳伦斯 |
| | Satan's puzzle 666 | older | $2.99 | 48 81% | 1.4k | $4.3k (exactly $4,306) | Silvestre Gore Art |
| | Saccharine Echo | $4.99 | 27 85% | 810 | $4.0k (exactly $4,042) | Neverliss | |
| | Fatrifice 3 | $5.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | CupCupMug | |
| | Odd Machines: Mechanical Boxes | $5.99 | 7 57% | 210 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | XSGames | |
| | Flappy Witch | $2.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $538 (exactly $538) | CrazyCompany |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.