Games › Survival › Survival + Gambling
Should I ship a Gambling Survival game?
Survival + Gambling
Only 16 developers shipped a Gambling Survival game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Coin Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×4.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $3.3M, ×5393 the market median. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 30 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $836 (exactly $836) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) |
| Top 25% | $29k (exactly $29,071) |
| Top 5% | $3.4M (exactly $3,386,506) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Survival, Gambling
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 6,478 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $840. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Survival with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Social DeductionFair
- + Word GameFair
- + CatsFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + DogsFair
- + Martial ArtsLong shot
- + Boomer ShooterLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Coin Game | $19.99 | 5,647 92% | 169k | $3.4M (exactly $3,386,506) | devotid | |
| | Tharsis | older | $14.99 | 1,438 71% | 43k | $647k (exactly $646,669) | Choice Provisions |
| | 硬币与仙人掌 (Coins & Wishpalm) | $13.99 | 343 77% | 10k | $144k (exactly $143,957) | Moshow Games | |
| | Metro Sim Hustle | older | $9.99 | 352 75% | 11k | $105k (exactly $105,494) | Departure Interactive |
| | Cut That Wire | $6.99 | 243 84% | 7.3k | $51k (exactly $50,957) | WakaStudio | |
| | ColdRidge | $9.99 | 97 73% | 2.9k | $29k (exactly $29,071) | Frog Collective | |
| | It's time, Your Majesty | $6.99 | 77 64% | 2.3k | $16k (exactly $16,147) | String studio | |
| | Survive In Russia | older | $5.99 | 50 62% | 1.5k | $9.0k (exactly $8,985) | Alexander Sablin |
| | Desperate Gambling | · EA | $10.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $4.3k (exactly $4,286) | Gaetha |
| | Roulette Heist | $6.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) | DreamArk Lab | |
| | Casino Casualty | $7.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) | GlitchedLizard | |
| | High Stakes: Hot Nights | $2.99 | 25 72% | 750 | $2.2k (exactly $2,242) | Momentum Games | |
| | Slot or Die | $13.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $1.3k (exactly $1,259) | cr0cq |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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