Do I ship it?

Games › Roguelike Deckbuilder › Roguelike Deckbuilder + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Roguelike Deckbuilder?

Roguelike Deckbuilder + Cyberpunk

Only 17 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Roguelike Deckbuilder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Into The Grid, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $87k, ×140 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 20 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelike Deckbuilder + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $95k → $2.5k → $449 → $179 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelike Deckbuilder + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,920)
Top 5% $88k (exactly $87,692)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 31
Announced 20
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.66

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 365% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Roguelike Deckbuilder; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Strategy, Roguelike
Price point
$6.66 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.66.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 357 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $87k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 20 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelike Deckbuilder with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PhysicsStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  3. + DiceFair36 devs · median $9.6k · 53 announced
  4. + Tactical RPGFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair65 devs · median $8.1k · 66 announced
  6. + ExplorationFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $7.8k · 50 announced
  8. + MythologyFair22 devs · median $6.9k · 25 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  11. + PvPPoor odds17 devs · median $56k · 42 announced
  12. + Multiple EndingsPoor odds14 devs · median $40k · 25 announced

All 60 pairs on the Roguelike Deckbuilder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Beneath Oresa 2023 · $841k Nitro Kid 2022 · $246k Zero Division 2024 · $106k Theseus Protocol 2023 · $95k Into The Grid 2025 · EA · $88k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Beneath Oresa older $24.99 1,122 78% 34k $841k (exactly $841,163) Broken Spear Inc.
Nitro Kid older $19.99 410 89% 12k $246k (exactly $245,877) Wildboy Studios
Zero Division older $12.99 271 87% 8.1k $106k (exactly $105,609) Robot Cat Limited
Theseus Protocol older $9.99 317 65% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,005) YueTang(Xiamen)
Into The Grid · EA $14.99 195 83% 5.9k $88k (exactly $87,692) Flatline Studios
Metroplex Zero: Sci-Fi Card Battler older $19.99 90 96% 2.7k $54k (exactly $53,973) Enigma Dragons LLC
Cartridge Defense older $11.99 80 91% 2.4k $29k (exactly $28,776) Out Gaming
Malice & Greed · EA older $14.99 56 73% 1.7k $25k (exactly $25,183) Xendra
Neongarten $9.99 67 86% 2.0k $20k (exactly $20,080) Moonroof Studios
Perfect Dice older $9.99 56 75% 1.7k $17k (exactly $16,783) Tilt Station
NET.CRAWL $9.99 46 95% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) Everyone is Solid
Dicey Hacker 1999 $7.99 20 75% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) HuanMos Game
SOLARFLARE $4.00 16 100% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,920) Swarmforge
BLACK STACK $8.99 5 60% 150 $1.3k (exactly $1,348) BLACKGLASS ASSEMBLY
Another Round $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Triple Eye Games
Cyber Breaker $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) ShadowHawkDragon
Dystopia Girls : Countdown $2.99 2 50% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Jeremy Kim
Neon Frontline $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Hook Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.