Do I ship it?

GamesRoguelike DeckbuilderRoguelike Deckbuilder + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Roguelike Deckbuilder?

Roguelike Deckbuilder + Mythology

Of 22 developers who shipped a Mythological Roguelike Deckbuilder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.9k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $2.4k. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 25 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 25 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelike Deckbuilder + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $82k → $13k → $6.7k (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelike Deckbuilder + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,397)
Median $6.9k (exactly $6,893)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $33,566)
Top 5% $94k (exactly $93,987)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 33
Announced 25
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Roguelike Deckbuilder; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Strategy, Deckbuilding
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 2,167 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $6.9k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $93k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelike Deckbuilder with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PhysicsStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  3. + DiceFair36 devs · median $9.6k · 53 announced
  4. + Tactical RPGFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair65 devs · median $8.1k · 66 announced
  6. + ExplorationFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $7.8k · 50 announced
  8. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  9. + PuzzleFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  10. + CyberpunkLong shot17 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  11. + PvPPoor odds17 devs · median $56k · 42 announced
  12. + Multiple EndingsPoor odds14 devs · median $40k · 25 announced

All 60 pairs on the Roguelike Deckbuilder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Warriors of the Nile 2 older $14.99 1,180 88% 35k $531k (exactly $530,646) Stove Studio
Half-Demon Shinobi $10.99 1,242 89% 37k $409k (exactly $409,487) 樹懶叫工作室, 紳士吉娃, Maker製造機
Pyrene older $14.99 676 92% 20k $304k (exactly $303,997) Two Tiny Dice
Ancient Gods older $19.99 275 62% 8.3k $165k (exactly $164,918) Hexpion
Hungry Horrors · EA $14.99 209 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $93,987) Clumsy Bear Studio
Witch and Council : The Card $14.99 182 48% 5.5k $82k (exactly $81,845) G1 Playground
These Doomed Isles $14.99 180 66% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Triplevision Games Limited
Cardnarok: Raid with Gods older $19.99 76 72% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Greedy Wolf Studio
Guardians of Dao · EA $19.99 63 74% 1.9k $38k (exactly $37,781) George Financial Holding Ltd.
Relief $9.99 112 70% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Billiontail
Talespinner $14.99 53 71% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Flash Cat Games
Cultivation Story: Infinite Sword Realm · EA $14.99 48 75% 1.4k $22k (exactly $21,586) Bid Pond Studio Ltd.
Noah's Dilemma $9.99 43 90% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,887) Guanpeng Chen
Pantheion $6.99 35 82% 1.1k $7.3k (exactly $7,340) Reija

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.