Do I ship it?

GamesFightingFighting + FPS

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fighting FPS?

Fighting + FPS

Only 6 developers shipped a Fighting FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Melon Simulator™, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $720 against a market of $1.5k. 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 21 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fighting + FPS
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Fighting + FPS: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $11,078)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 69
Announced 21
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fighting
effort 7 / 10 · low · frame data, hitboxes and rollback netcode
FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Fighting, FPS
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 140,267 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $720, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 21 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fighting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SandboxStrong odds11 devs · median $76k · 8 announced
  2. + Score AttackLong shot13 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  3. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $117k · 26 announced
  4. + Dark FantasyPoor odds11 devs · median $56k · 23 announced
  5. + Souls-likePoor odds8 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds5 devs · median $9.6k · 18 announced
  9. + Local Co-OpPoor odds41 devs · median $9.4k · 45 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds45 devs · median $9.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds29 devs · median $8.7k · 60 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds44 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced

All 67 pairs on the Fighting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MORDHAU older $29.99 91,678 80% 2.8M $82M (exactly $82,482,697) Triternion
Paint the Town Red older $19.99 29,141 96% 874k $17M (exactly $17,475,858) South East Games
STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight - Jedi Academy™ older $9.99 11,290 96% 339k $3.4M (exactly $3,383,613) Raven Software
War Dust VR: 32v32 Battlefields older $24.99 1,489 80% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,116,303) raptor lab
Zeno Clash older $9.99 2,164 88% 65k $649k (exactly $648,551) ACE Team
The Shore older $11.99 1,763 70% 53k $634k (exactly $634,151) Ares Dragonis
Zeno Clash 2 older $14.99 733 84% 22k $330k (exactly $329,630) ACE Team
Shark Attack Deathmatch 2 older $4.99 1,415 74% 42k $212k (exactly $211,826) Lighthouse Games Studio
Omikron: The Nomad Soul older $9.99 420 68% 13k $126k (exactly $125,874) Quantic Dream
Afterlife VR older $14.99 174 82% 5.2k $78k (exactly $78,248) Split Light Studio
Melon Simulator™ $4.99 74 85% 2.2k $11k (exactly $11,078) Delirious & Co.
Hellfire Rampage VR $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Nazar Korinnyi
The Final Shuffle $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) KaashFusionStudio
BattleHeights · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Wondersoft Studio
Ninja Arena $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Lunar Code Studio
Ninja Vs Bomb $3.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sprem

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.