Games › Fighting › Fighting + Historical
Should I ship a Historical Fighting game?
Fighting + Historical
Only 9 developers shipped a Historical Fighting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Half Sword, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $13k, ×8.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $21M, ×14341 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
|---|---|
| Median | $13k (exactly $12,579) |
| Top 25% | $268k (exactly $268,066) |
| Top 5% | $21M (exactly $21,483,403) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Fighting
- effort 7 / 10 · low · frame data, hitboxes and rollback netcode
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Fighting
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 152,596 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Fighting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SandboxStrong odds
- + Score AttackLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + CyberpunkPoor odds
- + Local Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Spectacle fighterPoor odds
Comparable games
MORDHAU 2019 · $82M 
Half Sword 2026 · EA · $21M 
DYNASTY WARRIORS 8: Xtreme Legends Complete Edition 2014 · $18M 
Hellish Quart 2021 · EA · $4.4M 
Sid Meier's Pirates! 2005 · $1.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MORDHAU | older | $29.99 | 91,678 80% | 2.8M | $82M (exactly $82,482,697) | Triternion |
| | Half Sword | · EA | $24.99 | 28,656 71% | 860k | $21M (exactly $21,483,403) | Half Sword Games |
| | DYNASTY WARRIORS 8: Xtreme Legends Complete Edition | older | $49.99 | 11,886 83% | 357k | $18M (exactly $17,825,434) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Hellish Quart | · EA older | $17.99 | 8,068 88% | 242k | $4.4M (exactly $4,354,300) | Kubold |
| | Sid Meier's Pirates! | older | $9.99 | 6,198 94% | 186k | $1.9M (exactly $1,857,541) | Firaxis Games |
 | Grand Ages: Medieval | older | $19.99 | 1,565 47% | 47k | $939k (exactly $938,530) | Gaming Minds Studios |
 | Gladio Mori | $15.99 | 1,147 82% | 34k | $550k (exactly $550,216) | Plebeian Studio | |
 | First Cut: Samurai Duel | older | $8.99 | 1,986 88% | 60k | $536k (exactly $535,624) | Night Eyes Interactive |
 | SAMURAI SHODOWN NEOGEO COLLECTION | older | $39.99 | 370 81% | 11k | $444k (exactly $443,889) | DIGITAL ECLIPSE |
 | Tales Of Glory | older | $10.99 | 1,042 80% | 31k | $344k (exactly $343,547) | BlackTale Games |
 | Ertugrul of Ulukayin | · EA | $19.99 | 447 84% | 13k | $268k (exactly $268,066) | Tekden Studio |
 | Two Strikes | $14.99 | 256 89% | 7.7k | $115k (exactly $115,123) | Retro Reactor | |
 | 1953: NATO vs Warsaw Pact | $5.99 | 70 41% | 2.1k | $13k (exactly $12,579) | Wastelands Interactive | |
 | Sim: Heavyweight Boxing Champion | $9.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Jfsimgames | |
 | Parable Academy | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Snuffysam Media | |
 | 水浒群侠传 | $4.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | 曾经惨遭锁区 | |
 | Wrestling Classics: Olde Timey Pro Wrestling | $3.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | LunarCore Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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