Do I ship it?

GamesFightingFighting + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Fighting game?

Fighting + Cyberpunk

Only 5 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Fighting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cyberpunk SFX, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.6k, ×6.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $6.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $54k, ×37 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 18 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 18 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fighting + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Fighting + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $6.3k (exactly $6,300)
Median $9.6k (exactly $9,595)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,486)
Top 5% $55k (exactly $54,845)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 40
Announced 18
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fighting
effort 7 / 10 · low · frame data, hitboxes and rollback netcode
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Fighting
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $10.00.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 76,952 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.3k, median $9.6k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $54k.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.3k. 18 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fighting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SandboxStrong odds11 devs · median $76k · 8 announced
  2. + Score AttackLong shot13 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  3. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $117k · 26 announced
  4. + Dark FantasyPoor odds11 devs · median $56k · 23 announced
  5. + Souls-likePoor odds8 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  8. + Local Co-OpPoor odds41 devs · median $9.4k · 45 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds45 devs · median $9.0k · 64 announced
  10. + Hack and SlashPoor odds29 devs · median $8.7k · 60 announced
  11. + AdventurePoor odds44 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced

All 67 pairs on the Fighting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ghostrunner older $29.99 46,818 91% 1.4M $42M (exactly $42,122,155) One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Iro… (One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Ironworks™, All in! Games)
Remember Me older $29.99 11,128 83% 334k $10M (exactly $10,011,862) DONTNOD Entertainment
Ghostrunner 2 older $39.99 7,981 80% 239k $9.6M (exactly $9,574,806) One More Level
Bleeding Edge older $29.99 1,411 66% 42k $1.3M (exactly $1,269,477) Ninja Theory
Zup! F older $1.99 7,749 96% 232k $463k (exactly $462,615) Quiet River
Hyper Jam older $12.99 431 93% 13k $168k (exactly $167,961) Bit Dragon
Omikron: The Nomad Soul older $9.99 420 68% 13k $126k (exactly $125,874) Quantic Dream
Chicken Assassin: Reloaded older $4.99 715 94% 21k $107k (exactly $107,036) OneShark
Punch Planet - Early Access · EA older $19.99 171 91% 5.1k $103k (exactly $102,549) Sector-K Games
Die by the Blade older $19.99 128 57% 3.8k $77k (exactly $76,762) Grindstone, Triple Hill Interactive, To… (Grindstone, Triple Hill Interactive, Toko Midori Games)
Cyberpunk SFX $9.99 183 83% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) Whale Rock Games
RHYTHMKILL $9.99 45 82% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) GETTAKE
RAGER $19.99 16 100% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Insane Prey
Heatwave $10.00 21 95% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,300) Monochromesoft
Virus X $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) IcekingPanda

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.