Do I ship it?

GamesSailingSailing + Fishing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing Sailing game?

Sailing + Fishing

Of 32 developers who shipped a Fishing Sailing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×4.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×639 the market median. Revenue is up 895% on the market; 72 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 895% on the market, 72 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sailing + Fishing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $16k → $299 → $2.2k → $5.3k → $4.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sailing + Fishing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,941)
Top 5% $401k (exactly $401,001)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 64
Announced 72
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 895% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sailing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Sailing, Fishing; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Nonlinear, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 4,049 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sailing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + UnderwaterFair24 devs · median $3.9k · 30 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $356k · 38 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds16 devs · median $69k · 42 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced
  5. + SandboxPoor odds22 devs · median $45k · 73 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $38k · 40 announced
  7. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds10 devs · median $27k · 40 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds26 devs · median $17k · 43 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds48 devs · median $15k · 119 announced
  10. + Action RPGPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 25 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds18 devs · median $8.5k · 55 announced
  12. + SurvivalPoor odds24 devs · median $6.6k · 63 announced

All 47 pairs on the Sailing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DREDGE older $24.99 47,624 95% 1.4M $36M (exactly $35,703,713) Black Salt Games
Cat Goes Fishing older $6.99 15,431 94% 463k $3.2M (exactly $3,235,881) Cat5Games
Fishing: North Atlantic - Enhanced Edition older $34.99 2,535 76% 76k $2.7M (exactly $2,660,990) Misc Games
Fishing: Barents Sea older $24.99 2,393 79% 72k $1.8M (exactly $1,794,032) Misc Games
Sailwind · EA older $19.99 2,312 89% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,386,506) Raw Lion Workshop
Salt 2: Shores of Gold $19.99 2,182 85% 65k $1.3M (exactly $1,308,545) Lavaboots Studios
Critter Cove · EA older $24.99 1,735 94% 52k $1.3M (exactly $1,300,730) Gentleman Rat Studios
Deadliest Catch: The Game older $19.99 1,519 51% 46k $911k (exactly $910,944) 4Fishing
Moonglow Bay older $24.99 679 66% 20k $509k (exactly $509,046) Bunnyhug
UMIGARI | ウミガリ $12.99 1,029 82% 31k $401k (exactly $401,001) Chilla's Art
Collector's Cove $19.99 136 86% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) VoodooDuck
Following Seas · EA $14.99 153 76% 4.6k $69k (exactly $68,804) Whipstaff Games
FISH FEAR ME $9.99 214 84% 6.4k $64k (exactly $64,136) HEATHER FLOWERS
Nautical Survival $7.99 179 97% 5.4k $43k (exactly $42,906) Idan Rooze
Dreaming Isles $6.99 79 51% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,566) YawningDad
The Isle of Cats $14.99 31 83% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Dire Wolf
Fisherman Simulator $6.99 28 78% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) RFT
Whistling Waters $9.99 18 83% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Luna Apps

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.