Games › Fighting › Fighting + War
Should I ship a War Fighting game?
Fighting + War
Only 5 developers shipped a War Fighting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tears of Metal, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×10.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $13k against a market of $1.5k. 10 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) |
|---|---|
| Median | $13k (exactly $12,579) |
| Top 25% | $51k (exactly $51,266) |
| Top 5% | $1.8M (exactly $1,768,542) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 45 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Fighting
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 157,104 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 10 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×10.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Fighting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SandboxStrong odds
- + Score AttackLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CyberpunkPoor odds
- + Local Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
Comparable games
FOR HONOR™ 2017 · $98M 
Sifu 2023 · $26M 
Bad North: Jotunn Edition 2018 · $5.6M 
Animal Revolt Battle Simulator 2022 · $3.0M 
Tears of Metal 2026 · EA · $1.8M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | FOR HONOR™ | older | $29.99 | 108,492 69% | 3.3M | $98M (exactly $97,610,252) | Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Toronto, Blue Byte) |
| | Sifu | older | $39.99 | 21,620 92% | 649k | $26M (exactly $25,937,514) | Sloclap |
| | Bad North: Jotunn Edition | older | $14.99 | 12,344 93% | 370k | $5.6M (exactly $5,551,097) | Plausible Concept, Oskar Stålberg |
| | Animal Revolt Battle Simulator | older | $14.99 | 6,571 95% | 197k | $3.0M (exactly $2,954,979) | VDimension |
| | Tears of Metal | · EA | $24.99 | 2,359 85% | 71k | $1.8M (exactly $1,768,542) | Paper Cult |
 | War Dust VR: 32v32 Battlefields | older | $24.99 | 1,489 80% | 45k | $1.1M (exactly $1,116,303) | raptor lab |
 | Grand Ages: Medieval | older | $19.99 | 1,565 47% | 47k | $939k (exactly $938,530) | Gaming Minds Studios |
 | Tales Of Glory | older | $10.99 | 1,042 80% | 31k | $344k (exactly $343,547) | BlackTale Games |
 | Northend Tower Defense | older | $7.99 | 1,309 75% | 39k | $314k (exactly $313,767) | Northend Games |
 | Prime & Load : 1776 | older | $7.99 | 313 76% | 9.4k | $75k (exactly $75,026) | Radio Silence Entertainment |
 | Vincemus - Air Combat | $14.99 | 114 82% | 3.4k | $51k (exactly $51,266) | Virtual Convict | |
 | 1953: NATO vs Warsaw Pact | $5.99 | 70 41% | 2.1k | $13k (exactly $12,579) | Wastelands Interactive | |
 | Games of the Monarch's Eye | $5.99 | 8 25% | 240 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Choice of Games | |
 | Lord Of Island | $2.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $538 (exactly $538) | TungataGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.