Do I ship it?

GamesFightingFighting + Turn-Based Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Combat Fighting game?

Fighting + Turn-Based Combat

Only 8 developers shipped a Turn-Based Combat Fighting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rune Coliseum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×1.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $500k, ×337 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fighting + Turn-Based Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Fighting + Turn-Based Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $959 (exactly $959)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,696)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 5% $505k (exactly $504,754)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 31
Announced 14
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fighting
effort 7 / 10 · low · frame data, hitboxes and rollback netcode
Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Fighting, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 3,694 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $960, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $500k.

3 in 10 developers made under $960. 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fighting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SandboxStrong odds11 devs · median $76k · 8 announced
  2. + Score AttackLong shot13 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  3. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $117k · 26 announced
  4. + Dark FantasyPoor odds11 devs · median $56k · 23 announced
  5. + Souls-likePoor odds8 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds5 devs · median $9.6k · 18 announced
  9. + Local Co-OpPoor odds41 devs · median $9.4k · 45 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds45 devs · median $9.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds29 devs · median $8.7k · 60 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds44 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced

All 67 pairs on the Fighting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Adventure Time: Pirates of the Enchiridion older $24.99 944 91% 28k $708k (exactly $707,717) Climax Studios
Rune Coliseum · EA $18.99 886 79% 27k $505k (exactly $504,754) Rafale Software
Fight of Gods older $14.99 762 83% 23k $343k (exactly $342,671) Digital Crafter
Swords and Sandals 2 Redux older $9.99 552 78% 17k $165k (exactly $165,434) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Valthirian Arc: Hero School Story 2 older $19.99 97 55% 2.9k $58k (exactly $58,171) Agate
Swords and Sandals 5 Redux: Maximus Edition older $6.99 205 60% 6.2k $43k (exactly $42,988) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Legend of Hand older $7.99 92 91% 2.8k $22k (exactly $22,052) Cloak and Dagger Games
FAS: Fight Action Sandbox older $6.99 69 63% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Vona Soft
Mega Knockdown · EA older $9.99 37 100% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,089) dhamster, Alan McMillian
Swords and Sandals Medieval older $6.99 50 76% 1.5k $10k (exactly $10,485) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Sim: Heavyweight Boxing Champion $9.99 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Jfsimgames
Turn Based Boxing: Tactics - Legends Edition $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) The Slanted Room
Nightmarena $5.99 15 93% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) Colo Coko
Sheva $6.99 5 60% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Goldtusks
Hybrid Beasts $7.99 4 50% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Beastbits
Soccer in a Box $2.99 10 100% 300 $897 (exactly $897) WaveBox Labs
Type Fighters $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Sharkbowl Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.