Do I ship it?

GamesFightingFighting + Tactical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical Fighting game?

Fighting + Tactical

Only 8 developers shipped a Tactical Fighting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Blades of Fire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.2k against a market of $1.5k. 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 2245% on the market, 21 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fighting + Tactical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Fighting + Tactical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 25% $55k (exactly $54,845)
Top 5% $627k (exactly $627,443)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 57
Announced 21
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2245% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fighting
effort 7 / 10 · low · frame data, hitboxes and rollback netcode
Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Fighting, Tactical
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 26,991 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $54k, 1 in 20 over $620k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fighting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SandboxStrong odds11 devs · median $76k · 8 announced
  2. + Score AttackLong shot13 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  3. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $117k · 26 announced
  4. + Dark FantasyPoor odds11 devs · median $56k · 23 announced
  5. + Souls-likePoor odds8 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds5 devs · median $9.6k · 18 announced
  9. + Local Co-OpPoor odds41 devs · median $9.4k · 45 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds45 devs · median $9.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds29 devs · median $8.7k · 60 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds44 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced

All 67 pairs on the Fighting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bad North: Jotunn Edition older $14.99 12,344 93% 370k $5.6M (exactly $5,551,097) Plausible Concept, Oskar Stålberg
Animal Revolt Battle Simulator older $14.99 6,571 95% 197k $3.0M (exactly $2,954,979) VDimension
RUMBLE · EA older $24.99 3,158 87% 95k $2.4M (exactly $2,367,553) Buckethead Entertainment
War Dust VR: 32v32 Battlefields older $24.99 1,489 80% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,116,303) raptor lab
Blades of Fire $39.99 523 74% 16k $627k (exactly $627,443) MercurySteam
Punch A Bunch older $14.99 963 74% 29k $433k (exactly $433,061) Pontypants
Northend Tower Defense older $7.99 1,309 75% 39k $314k (exactly $313,767) Northend Games
Close Combat: Cross of Iron older $39.99 163 81% 4.9k $196k (exactly $195,551) Strategy 3 Tactics
Drone Swarm older $16.99 279 62% 8.4k $142k (exactly $142,206) stillalive studios
Checkmate Showdown older $19.99 192 80% 5.8k $115k (exactly $115,142) BadRez Games
Cyberpunk SFX $9.99 183 83% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) Whale Rock Games
Shadow Prisoner · EA $13.99 32 93% 960 $13k (exactly $13,430) Kizawaya
Turn Based Boxing: Tactics - Legends Edition $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) The Slanted Room
Sheva $6.99 5 60% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Goldtusks
Lord Of Island $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) TungataGames
Stock Fighter $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) McTeddy Games
Whotfire $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) TinCity Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.