Do I ship it?

Games › Fighting › Fighting + Split Screen

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Split Screen Fighting game?

Fighting + Split Screen

Only 7 developers shipped a Split Screen Fighting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Galactic Thunderdome, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $480 against a market of $1.5k. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 19 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fighting + Split Screen
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Fighting + Split Screen: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 5% $10k (exactly $10,490)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 38
Announced 19
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fighting
effort 7 / 10 · low · frame data, hitboxes and rollback netcode
Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Fighting, Split Screen
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 123,895 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $480, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fighting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SandboxStrong odds11 devs · median $76k · 8 announced
  2. + Score AttackLong shot13 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  3. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $117k · 26 announced
  4. + Dark FantasyPoor odds11 devs · median $56k · 23 announced
  5. + Souls-likePoor odds8 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds5 devs · median $9.6k · 18 announced
  9. + Local Co-OpPoor odds41 devs · median $9.4k · 45 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds45 devs · median $9.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds29 devs · median $8.7k · 60 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds44 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced

All 67 pairs on the Fighting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4 2023 · $21M Stick Fight: The Game 2017 · $15M One Piece Burning Blood 2016 · $5.6M DAVIGO: VR vs. PC 2023 · EA · $900k Cake Bash 2020 · $309k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4 older $39.99 17,281 91% 518k $21M (exactly $20,732,016) Koei Tecmo
Stick Fight: The Game older $4.99 99,952 93% 3.0M $15M (exactly $14,962,814) Landfall West
One Piece Burning Blood older $49.99 3,751 81% 113k $5.6M (exactly $5,625,375) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
DAVIGO: VR vs. PC · EA older $24.99 1,200 84% 36k $900k (exactly $899,640) Davigo Studio
Cake Bash older $19.99 515 86% 15k $309k (exactly $308,846) High Tea Frog
God's Trigger older $14.99 441 72% 13k $198k (exactly $198,318) One More Level
Megabyte Punch older $14.99 409 94% 12k $184k (exactly $183,927) Team Reptile
Garrison: Archangel older $14.99 208 82% 6.2k $94k (exactly $93,538) Indigo Entertainment
Fight Party older $4.99 112 78% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,766) Mr. Vibin
ABRACA - Imagic Games older $14.99 26 73% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Ankama Studio
Galactic Thunderdome $9.99 35 100% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Pansimula
The Henchmen $9.99 21 76% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Alex Von Bronx
Goo Goo Grapplers $7.99 20 100% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) Both Good
Grapple Gunners $7.99 2 0% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Cortland Hansen
Bàito $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) drCaron97
Ranger Force $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) J Studios Gaming LLC
Pillow Fight $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) StudyFun

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.