Do I ship it?

GamesFightingFighting + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Fighting game?

Fighting + Robots

Only 8 developers shipped a Robot Fighting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Clone Drone in the Hyperdome, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $35k against a market of $1.5k. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 23.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 17 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fighting + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Fighting + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Median $35k (exactly $35,030)
Top 25% $338k (exactly $338,287)
Top 5% $628k (exactly $628,486)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 43
Announced 17
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fighting
effort 7 / 10 · low · frame data, hitboxes and rollback netcode
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Fighting
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 45,414 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.2k, median $35k, 1 in 4 over $330k, 1 in 20 over $620k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.2k. 17 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fighting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SandboxStrong odds11 devs · median $76k · 8 announced
  2. + Score AttackLong shot13 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  3. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $117k · 26 announced
  4. + Dark FantasyPoor odds11 devs · median $56k · 23 announced
  5. + Souls-likePoor odds8 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds5 devs · median $9.6k · 18 announced
  9. + Local Co-OpPoor odds41 devs · median $9.4k · 45 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds45 devs · median $9.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds29 devs · median $8.7k · 60 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds44 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced

All 67 pairs on the Fighting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone older $19.99 36,084 96% 1.1M $22M (exactly $21,639,575) Doborog Games
Animal Revolt Battle Simulator older $14.99 6,571 95% 197k $3.0M (exactly $2,954,979) VDimension
Clone Drone in the Hyperdome $19.99 1,048 91% 31k $628k (exactly $628,486) Doborog Games
Iron Saga VS $29.99 376 79% 11k $338k (exactly $338,287) Gameduchy
Megabyte Punch older $14.99 409 94% 12k $184k (exactly $183,927) Team Reptile
Override 2: Super Mech League older $29.99 118 60% 3.5k $106k (exactly $106,165) Maximum Entertainment
Garrison: Archangel older $14.99 208 82% 6.2k $94k (exactly $93,538) Indigo Entertainment
Fallback older $9.99 299 87% 9.0k $90k (exactly $89,610) Endroad
Rigid Force Alpha older $19.99 118 78% 3.5k $71k (exactly $70,765) com8com1 Software
Cyberpunk SFX $9.99 183 83% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) Whale Rock Games
Chaos Faction Legacy Collection $4.99 234 93% 7.0k $35k (exactly $35,030) George "EON" Eade
RAGER $19.99 16 100% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Insane Prey
Fighties 2 $11.99 6 66% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Pillow Pig Games
Robots with Guns $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Flash of Stars
DAMex : DArk Matter Exodus $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Benoit Locu

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.