Games › Fighting › Fighting + Ninja
Should I ship a Ninja Fighting game?
Fighting + Ninja
Only 15 developers shipped a Ninja Fighting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.9k, ×3.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×759 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 11 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.9k (exactly $5,850) |
| Top 25% | $115k (exactly $115,123) |
| Top 5% | $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 63 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Fighting; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 3D Fighter, Arcade
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Retro
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 64% positive over 3,079 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.2k. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Fighting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SandboxStrong odds
- + Score AttackLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CyberpunkPoor odds
- + Local Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 4 | older | $19.99 | 72,409 90% | 2.2M | $43M (exactly $43,423,677) | CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd. |
| | Ghostrunner | older | $29.99 | 46,818 91% | 1.4M | $42M (exactly $42,122,155) | One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Iro… (One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Ironworks™, All in! Games) |
| | NARUTO TO BORUTO: SHINOBI STRIKER | older | $19.99 | 42,572 84% | 1.3M | $26M (exactly $25,530,428) | Soleil Ltd. |
| | Ghostrunner 2 | older | $39.99 | 7,981 80% | 239k | $9.6M (exactly $9,574,806) | One More Level |
| | NARUTO X BORUTO Ultimate Ninja STORM CONNECTIONS | older | $59.99 | 3,881 62% | 116k | $7.0M (exactly $6,984,636) | CyberConnect2 Co., Ltd. |
| | NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM Revolution | older | $29.99 | 7,228 84% | 217k | $6.5M (exactly $6,503,032) | CyberConnect2 Co., Ltd. |
| | NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 3 Full Burst HD | older | $19.99 | 10,749 89% | 322k | $6.4M (exactly $6,446,175) | CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd. |
| | SENRAN KAGURA ESTIVAL VERSUS | older | $29.99 | 4,986 94% | 150k | $4.5M (exactly $4,485,904) | Tamsoft |
| | Overgrowth | older | $19.99 | 6,202 86% | 186k | $3.7M (exactly $3,719,339) | Wolfire Games |
| | NARUTO: Ultimate Ninja STORM | older | $19.99 | 5,986 76% | 180k | $3.6M (exactly $3,589,804) | CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd. |
| | Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage | $19.99 | 1,897 71% | 57k | $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) | RGG Studio | |
| | DEAD OR ALIVE 6 Last Round | $39.99 | 550 31% | 17k | $660k (exactly $659,835) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutants Unleashed | $39.99 | 114 50% | 3.4k | $137k (exactly $136,766) | AHEARTFULOFGAMES | |
| | Two Strikes | $14.99 | 256 89% | 7.7k | $115k (exactly $115,123) | Retro Reactor | |
| | G.I. Joe: Wrath of Cobra | $24.99 | 121 56% | 3.6k | $91k (exactly $90,714) | indie.io | |
| | RHYTHMKILL | $9.99 | 45 82% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $13,486) | GETTAKE | |
| | DAWN ONE | $8.99 | 26 76% | 780 | $7.0k (exactly $7,012) | shaderbunny | |
| | Ninja Remix | $5.00 | 39 74% | 1.2k | $5.9k (exactly $5,850) | Hesoyam | |
| | Maki: Paw of Fury | $11.99 | 16 75% | 480 | $5.8k (exactly $5,755) | Bacord | |
| | Nightmarena | $5.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) | Colo Coko |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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