Do I ship it?

GamesFightingFighting + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Fighting game?

Fighting + Multiple Endings

Only 4 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Fighting game in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 12 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $1.5k. 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 9 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fighting + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Fighting + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $9.5k (exactly $9,524)
Top 25% $222k (exactly $221,719)
Top 5% $563k (exactly $562,519)
Developers, 4 yr 12
Released games 35
Announced 9
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fighting
effort 7 / 10 · low · frame data, hitboxes and rollback netcode
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Fighting, Multiple Endings
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 8,062 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $9.5k, 1 in 4 over $220k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 9 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fighting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SandboxStrong odds11 devs · median $76k · 8 announced
  2. + Score AttackLong shot13 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  3. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $117k · 26 announced
  4. + Dark FantasyPoor odds11 devs · median $56k · 23 announced
  5. + Souls-likePoor odds8 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds5 devs · median $9.6k · 18 announced
  9. + Local Co-OpPoor odds41 devs · median $9.4k · 45 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds45 devs · median $9.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds29 devs · median $8.7k · 60 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds44 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced

All 67 pairs on the Fighting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fight'N Rage older $19.99 2,557 92% 77k $1.5M (exactly $1,533,433) sebagamesdev
The Shore older $11.99 1,763 70% 53k $634k (exactly $634,151) Ares Dragonis
Troublemaker older $19.99 938 89% 28k $563k (exactly $562,519) Gamecom Team
Mayhem Brawler older $19.99 836 89% 25k $501k (exactly $501,349) Hero Concept
Pocket Bravery older $19.99 503 90% 15k $302k (exactly $301,649) Statera Studio
Cobra Kai: The Karate Kid Saga Continues older $19.99 417 84% 13k $250k (exactly $250,075) Flux Games
Majikoi! Love Me Seriously! older $34.99 212 95% 6.4k $223k (exactly $222,536) Minato Soft
MMA Life Simulator $16.99 435 80% 13k $222k (exactly $221,719) BNS7
Acceleration of SUGURI 2 older $8.99 283 92% 8.5k $76k (exactly $76,325) Orange_Juice
Rigid Force Alpha older $19.99 118 78% 3.5k $71k (exactly $70,765) com8com1 Software
Teach Me Master $9.99 5 20% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) JellyFluff Games
Games of the Monarch's Eye $5.99 8 25% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Choice of Games
水浒群侠传 $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) 曾经惨遭锁区

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.