Do I ship it?

GamesFightingFighting + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Fighting game?

Fighting + Futuristic

Only 8 developers shipped a Futuristic Fighting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Clone Drone in the Hyperdome, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×17 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $7.2k against a market of $1.5k. 34 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 34 announced, ×17 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fighting + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Fighting + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $7.2k (exactly $7,196)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $30,738)
Top 5% $628k (exactly $628,486)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 68
Announced 34
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fighting
effort 7 / 10 · low · frame data, hitboxes and rollback netcode
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Fighting
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 116,160 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $7.2k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $620k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×17 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fighting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SandboxStrong odds11 devs · median $76k · 8 announced
  2. + Score AttackLong shot13 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  3. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $117k · 26 announced
  4. + Dark FantasyPoor odds11 devs · median $56k · 23 announced
  5. + Souls-likePoor odds8 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds5 devs · median $9.6k · 18 announced
  9. + Local Co-OpPoor odds41 devs · median $9.4k · 45 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds45 devs · median $9.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds29 devs · median $8.7k · 60 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds44 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced

All 67 pairs on the Fighting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ghostrunner older $29.99 46,818 91% 1.4M $42M (exactly $42,122,155) One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Iro… (One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Ironworks™, All in! Games)
SCARLET NEXUS older $59.99 13,749 81% 412k $25M (exactly $24,744,075) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc.
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone older $19.99 36,084 96% 1.1M $22M (exactly $21,639,575) Doborog Games
Remember Me older $29.99 11,128 83% 334k $10M (exactly $10,011,862) DONTNOD Entertainment
SpiderHeck older $14.99 3,922 93% 118k $1.8M (exactly $1,763,723) Neverjam
Kung Fury: Street Rage - Ultimate Edition older $19.99 2,251 89% 68k $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925) Hello There Games
Clone Drone in the Hyperdome $19.99 1,048 91% 31k $628k (exactly $628,486) Doborog Games
Swords of Gurrah · EA older $14.99 622 78% 19k $280k (exactly $279,713) Devster, LLC
Omikron: The Nomad Soul older $9.99 420 68% 13k $126k (exactly $125,874) Quantic Dream
Override 2: Super Mech League older $29.99 118 60% 3.5k $106k (exactly $106,165) Maximum Entertainment
Coreupt $24.99 41 78% 1.2k $31k (exactly $30,738) Team Coreupt LLC
RAGER $19.99 16 100% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Insane Prey
Virtue's Heaven $19.99 12 100% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) MOKKOGRAD
FINAL FURY · EA $4.99 10 60% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Kluge Interactive
DAMex : DArk Matter Exodus $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Benoit Locu
Dalafri $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Y.Kageyama
MERIDIAN $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Alexander Kosenko

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.