Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Investigation game?

Investigation + Female Protagonist

Of 166 developers who shipped a Female-Led Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 334 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.3k, ×9.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $430k, ×911 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 334 games are announced against 95 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 334 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 166
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $3.6k → $6.1k → $5.6k → $9.0k → $2.5k → $8.2k (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 166
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $4.3k (exactly $4,341)
Top 25% $41k (exactly $41,101)
Top 5% $433k (exactly $432,577)
Developers, 2 yr 166
Released games 564
Announced 334
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 40,016 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $4.3k, 1 in 4 over $41k, 1 in 20 over $430k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 82 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 334 games are announced against 95 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers older $39.99 18,880 75% 566k $23M (exactly $22,650,336) Aesir Interactive
Syberia: The World Before older $39.99 4,069 89% 122k $4.9M (exactly $4,881,579) Microids Studio Paris
Operation: Tango older $19.99 7,167 86% 215k $4.3M (exactly $4,298,050) Clever Plays
Agent A: A puzzle in disguise older $19.99 5,901 95% 177k $3.5M (exactly $3,538,830) Yak & Co
The Painscreek Killings older $19.99 5,784 90% 174k $3.5M (exactly $3,468,665) EQ Studios
Far Away older $12.99 7,598 94% 228k $3.0M (exactly $2,960,941) Gratesca
Deceive Inc. older $19.99 4,755 84% 143k $2.9M (exactly $2,851,574) Sweet Bandits Studios
Enigma of Fear $29.99 3,045 95% 91k $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) Dumativa, Cellbit
Call of the Sea older $19.99 4,535 87% 136k $2.7M (exactly $2,719,640) Out of the Blue Games
Kathy Rain 2: Soothsayer $19.99 1,244 95% 37k $746k (exactly $746,027) Clifftop Games
Dimhaven - The Lost Source $25.99 945 87% 28k $737k (exactly $736,816) Zadbox Entertainment
1666: Amsterdam · EA $29.99 784 63% 24k $705k (exactly $705,365) Panache Digital Games
Syberia - Remastered $29.99 724 70% 22k $651k (exactly $651,383) Virtuallyz Gaming, Microids Studio Paris
Equinox: Homecoming $14.99 1,294 80% 39k $582k (exactly $581,912) Blue Scarab Entertainment
Old Skies $19.99 969 93% 29k $581k (exactly $581,109) Wadjet Eye Games
Penelope Pendrick and the Art of Deceit $24.99 577 97% 17k $433k (exactly $432,577) Default Cube Games
Ghost Town $24.99 565 95% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) Fireproof Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.