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Should I ship a PvE Farming Sim?
PvE + Farming Sim
Of 25 developers who shipped a PvE Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 78 more are announced, ×5.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $94k, ×150 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 78 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,468) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) |
| Top 5% | $94k (exactly $94,481) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 55 |
| Announced | 78 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvE
- effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- PvE, Farming Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, RPG
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cartoony, Funny
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 71% positive over 779 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 78 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + TypingFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + HeistPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + NavalPoor odds
- + SpaceshipsPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
Atomicrops 2020 · $2.3M 
Reactor Tech² 2021 · $159k 
Weed Shop 4: Highland 2026 · EA · $123k 
Farmagia 2024 · $94k 
Descending The Woods 2024 · EA · $63k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Atomicrops | older | $14.99 | 5,134 93% | 154k | $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) | Bird Bath Games |
| | Reactor Tech² | older | $14.99 | 353 68% | 11k | $159k (exactly $158,744) | 4Co |
| | Weed Shop 4: Highland | · EA | $19.99 | 205 52% | 6.2k | $123k (exactly $122,938) | Weed Games |
| | Farmagia | $49.99 | 63 46% | 1.9k | $94k (exactly $94,481) | Marvelous Inc. | |
| | Descending The Woods | · EA older | $18.99 | 111 47% | 3.3k | $63k (exactly $63,237) | AIONWARE LTD |
 | Game of Grass | $6.99 | 275 84% | 8.3k | $58k (exactly $57,668) | Hipsterdufus | |
 | Santhai | older | $12.99 | 137 89% | 4.1k | $53k (exactly $53,389) | Hardworker Studio, Rachan Neamprasert |
 | Slice the Crops! | $5.49 | 163 80% | 4.9k | $27k (exactly $26,846) | Wobblers Games | |
 | Chang'an: The capital of Tang Dynasty | older | $9.99 | 58 70% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,383) | Romulus |
 | Tutien Path | $14.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) | Truong Thanh Triet | |
 | Constructed | · EA | $14.99 | 8 75% | 240 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | Gaming Project |
 | CRIXUS: Life of free Gladiator | $7.99 | 15 46% | 450 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Waseku | |
 | Ancient Savo | $6.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $3.1k (exactly $3,146) | Erkka Lehmus | |
 | Welcome to Elite Cafe | $8.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $3.0k (exactly $2,967) | さめGames | |
 | VeilWood | $9.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Chaos Cabin |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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