Games › Real-Time › Real-Time + Fantasy
Should I ship a Fantasy Real-Time game?
Real-Time + Fantasy
Only 10 developers shipped a Fantasy Real-Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tower of Mask, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $9.0k against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.0k (exactly $8,992) |
| Top 25% | $28k (exactly $28,058) |
| Top 5% | $118k (exactly $117,703) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 77 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2525% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Real-Time
- Price point
- $10.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 94% positive over 709 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Real-Time with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Character CustomizationStrong odds
- + RogueliteFair
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + Action RTSPoor odds
- + StrategyPoor odds
- + RTSPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Age of Mythology: Extended Edition | older | $29.99 | 31,869 93% | 956k | $29M (exactly $28,672,539) | SkyBox Labs, Ensemble Studios, Forgotte… (SkyBox Labs, Ensemble Studios, Forgotten Empires) |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic) | older | $49.99 | 8,084 85% | 243k | $12M (exactly $12,123,575) | Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac/Linux)) |
| | Curse of the Dead Gods | older | $19.99 | 7,807 84% | 234k | $4.7M (exactly $4,681,858) | Passtech Games |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Anniversary Edition (Classic) | older | $14.99 | 8,812 94% | 264k | $4.0M (exactly $3,962,756) | Relic Entertainment |
| | Legend of Grimrock | older | $14.99 | 4,844 93% | 145k | $2.2M (exactly $2,178,347) | Almost Human Games |
| | Tower of Time | older | $24.99 | 2,322 82% | 70k | $1.7M (exactly $1,740,803) | Event Horizon |
| | Shadows: Awakening | older | $29.99 | 1,535 75% | 46k | $1.4M (exactly $1,381,040) | Games Farm |
| | Stronghold Legends: Steam Edition | older | $14.99 | 2,297 87% | 69k | $1.0M (exactly $1,032,961) | Firefly Studios |
| | Circle Empires | older | $8.99 | 3,739 89% | 112k | $1.0M (exactly $1,008,408) | Luminous |
| | Godsworn | · EA older | $29.99 | 805 93% | 24k | $724k (exactly $724,258) | Thunderoak Interactive |
| | Tower of Mask | $10.99 | 357 95% | 11k | $118k (exactly $117,703) | Papertip Studio | |
| | Warhammer: Mark of Chaos - Gold Edition (Classic) | $14.99 | 188 96% | 5.6k | $85k (exactly $84,544) | Black Hole Entertainment | |
| | Gem Miner TD | $12.99 | 72 97% | 2.2k | $28k (exactly $28,058) | iFeral Games | |
| | Dungeons & Dragons: Dragonshard | $9.99 | 45 80% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $13,486) | Liquid Entertainment | |
| | Eclipse Breaker | $11.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $9.0k (exactly $8,992) | Lunar Workshop, Jorge Rodriguez | |
| | Warsong | · EA | $14.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $4.5k (exactly $4,497) | Windforce |
| | TechnoSorcery | $7.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) | The Ancient Arcanum | |
| | Kraktures | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Deggy | |
| | Yagazem Elements | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | CirilXD | |
| | Edge Of Extinction | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Azulon Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.