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Should I ship a Fantasy Naval Combat game?
Naval Combat + Fantasy
Only 15 developers shipped a Fantasy Naval Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Like a Dragon: Pirate Yakuza in Hawaii, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $15k, ×23 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $11M, ×18868 the market median. Revenue is up 3415% on the market; 36 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $15k (exactly $14,564) |
| Top 25% | $24k (exactly $23,581) |
| Top 5% | $12M (exactly $11,849,225) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 36 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3415% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Naval Combat
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Fantasy
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Naval Combat
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 7,574 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Naval Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + World War IIFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + RTSPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
Like a Dragon: Pirate Yakuza in Hawaii 2025 · $12M 
Frozenheim 2022 · $2.1M 
Man O' War: Corsair - Warhammer Naval Battles (Classic) 2017 · $387k 
Sail Forth 2022 · $362k 
Forgotten Seas 2025 · $356k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Like a Dragon: Pirate Yakuza in Hawaii | $59.99 | 6,584 88% | 198k | $12M (exactly $11,849,225) | RGG Studio | |
| | Frozenheim | older | $19.99 | 3,463 70% | 104k | $2.1M (exactly $2,076,761) | Paranoid Interactive |
| | Man O' War: Corsair - Warhammer Naval Battles (Classic) | older | $19.99 | 645 63% | 19k | $387k (exactly $386,806) | Evil Twin Artworks |
| | Sail Forth | older | $19.99 | 604 92% | 18k | $362k (exactly $362,219) | Festive Vector |
| | Forgotten Seas | $24.99 | 475 75% | 14k | $356k (exactly $356,108) | Pangea Game Studios | |
 | Ace of Seafood | older | $11.99 | 526 91% | 16k | $189k (exactly $189,202) | Calappa Games |
 | The Adventurer's Domain Online | · EA older | $15.99 | 207 65% | 6.2k | $99k (exactly $99,298) | Unbalanced Equations |
 | Sea of Survivors | · EA older | $6.99 | 415 81% | 12k | $87k (exactly $87,026) | Nah Yeah Games |
 | Ancient Wars: Medieval Crusades | · EA older | $19.99 | 90 82% | 2.7k | $54k (exactly $53,973) | JOTASOFT STUDIOS |
 | Dread Admiral | $13.99 | 59 89% | 1.8k | $25k (exactly $24,762) | Tescrin Games | |
 | Beach Defense: Zombie Invasion | $3.99 | 197 81% | 5.9k | $24k (exactly $23,581) | Only Fun Games | |
 | Realms of Madness | $15.99 | 39 89% | 1.2k | $19k (exactly $18,708) | Robin van der Horst | |
 | Dreadful River | $9.99 | 58 72% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,383) | SureAI | |
 | Dreaming Isles | $6.99 | 79 51% | 2.4k | $17k (exactly $16,566) | YawningDad | |
 | Mystical Maritime Adventure | $8.99 | 54 77% | 1.6k | $15k (exactly $14,564) | Ze_Yu, 烟熏渔 | |
 | Wyrd Waters | $1.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $955 (exactly $955) | Maximalist | |
 | Idle Space Shooter | $1.99 | 13 30% | 390 | $776 (exactly $776) | Phantom Prophecy Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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