Do I ship it?

GamesRPGRPG + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith RPG?

RPG + Faith

Of 59 developers who shipped a Faith RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 88 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $640k, ×1031 the market median. Revenue is up 430% on the market; 88 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 430% on the market, 88 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RPG + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 59
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $17k → $3.7k → $5.0k → $838 → $1.8k → $9.9k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RPG + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 59
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,480)
Top 5% $648k (exactly $647,652)
Developers, 2 yr 59
Released games 174
Announced 88
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 430% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
RPG; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Combat
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Story Rich, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 11,046 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $640k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 88 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced
  2. + IdlerFair357 devs · median $2.2k · 471 announced
  3. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  4. + SportsFair113 devs · median $1.5k · 124 announced
  5. + Combat RacingFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  6. + Split ScreenFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced
  8. + SamuraiPoor odds14 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds26 devs · median $54k · 56 announced
  11. + MinigamesPoor odds19 devs · median $40k · 34 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $28k · 19 announced

All 262 pairs on the RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou Luna Nights older $17.99 13,776 97% 413k $7.4M (exactly $7,434,907) Team Ladybug, WSS playground
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya older $5.99 29,517 98% 886k $5.3M (exactly $5,304,205) 二色幽紫蝶, Re零同人社
FATAL FRAME II: Crimson Butterfly REMAKE $49.99 2,663 87% 80k $4.0M (exactly $3,993,701) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend · EA older $29.99 2,036 92% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,831,789) Alioth Studio
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- older $34.99 1,734 93% 52k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,180) AQUASTYLE
永远消失的幻想乡 ~ The Disappearing of Gensokyo older $10.99 3,023 83% 91k $997k (exactly $996,683) MyACG Studio
33 Immortals $14.89 2,130 72% 64k $951k (exactly $951,471) Thunder Lotus
Leap of Faith older $10.99 2,308 96% 69k $761k (exactly $760,948) DriftyGames
Touhou Dystopian $9.99 2,161 97% 65k $648k (exactly $647,652) Kay Lnk
Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER - $34.99 582 98% 17k $611k (exactly $610,925) さんぼん堂
Crimson Oath $14.99 750 82% 23k $337k (exactly $337,275) Parry Frames Team
绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ $12.99 697 88% 21k $272k (exactly $271,621) Charge Piggy Studio
Halluci-Sabbat of Koishi $7.99 701 91% 21k $168k (exactly $168,030) ZRIGN 地霊研究院
Touhou Blooming Soul · EA $5.99 911 96% 27k $164k (exactly $163,707) 二色幽紫蝶
Marisa of Liartop Mountain $14.99 286 84% 8.6k $129k (exactly $128,614) Alliance Arts, UnknownX
Sisters in Sin 🔞 $14.99 165 75% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) Lewd Star

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.