Do I ship it?

GamesIncrementalIncremental + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Incremental game?

Incremental + Faith

Only 14 developers shipped a Faith Incremental game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Marisa!ReturnTheBook!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 860% on the market; 19 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 860% on the market, 19 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Incremental + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Incremental + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,315)
Top 5% $126k (exactly $125,790)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 32
Announced 19
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 860% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Incremental
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,029 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds15 devs · median $11k · 12 announced
  2. + OtomeStrong odds12 devs · median $7.0k · 11 announced
  3. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $6.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FarmingFair21 devs · median $5.9k · 23 announced
  5. + Dynamic NarrationFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  6. + MiningFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair140 devs · median $3.1k · 136 announced
  10. + UndergroundFair27 devs · median $3.0k · 35 announced
  11. + LootFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  12. + SupernaturalFair33 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced

All 188 pairs on the Incremental page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya older $5.99 29,517 98% 886k $5.3M (exactly $5,304,205) 二色幽紫蝶, Re零同人社
Marisa!ReturnTheBook! $5.99 700 90% 21k $126k (exactly $125,790) NARROW, TSUKUYOMIC
Idle Chapel $6.99 205 78% 6.2k $43k (exactly $42,988) Outer Choir
Elf Discipline Ceremony older $10.99 63 58% 1.9k $21k (exactly $20,771) Flag shadow
Let It Consume $4.99 57 73% 1.7k $8.5k (exactly $8,533) Ibon Studios
Keine’s Terakoya: A Schoolhouse in Gensokyo · EA $7.99 18 100% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) The Creator Workgroup
God Simulator older $4.99 26 26% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Mateusz Kulis
Emberlands: Desktop Village $3.99 24 83% 720 $2.9k (exactly $2,873) Tiny Roar
Lazarus A.D. 2222 older $4.99 13 92% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Sons of Welder, FM Simple Games Studio
Trajectory of summer flower Ⅱ older $4.99 12 66% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) SoraPrayer
易经·占卜 $6.00 8 75% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,440) 三页先生
Sanctum Protocol $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Koisoft
Transregnum $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Yunus Emre Aydar, Can Telkenaroglu
LuckyCat $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) TanE Games
Find My Love $1.99 3 100% 90 $179 (exactly $179) Araujo Castle

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.