Do I ship it?

Games › Extraction Shooter › Extraction Shooter + Online Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Extraction Shooter?

Extraction Shooter + Online Co-Op

Of 29 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Extraction Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $440k, ×296 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $14k; 1 in 20 cleared $83M, ×55887 the market median. Revenue is up 415% on the market; 70 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 295.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 415% on the market, 70 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Extraction Shooter + Online Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $83M → $16k → $1.1M → $720k (still earning) → $296k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Extraction Shooter + Online Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $14k (exactly $13,941)
Median $443k (exactly $443,178)
Top 25% $2.8M (exactly $2,795,368)
Top 5% $84M (exactly $83,719,253)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 45
Announced 70
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 415% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Extraction Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online PvPvE sessions with persistent stash servers
Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Extraction Shooter, Online Co-Op; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvE, PvP
Price point
$19.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 473,762 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $14k, median $440k, 1 in 4 over $2.7M, 1 in 20 over $83M.

3 in 10 developers made under $14k. 4 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Extraction Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PvPPoor odds18 devs · median $1.1M · 48 announced
  2. + FPSPoor odds29 devs · median $219k · 57 announced
  3. + PvEPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  4. + Open WorldPoor odds19 devs · median $101k · 37 announced
  5. + Sci-fiPoor odds26 devs · median $82k · 43 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds25 devs · median $82k · 49 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  8. + LootPoor odds26 devs · median $81k · 60 announced
  9. + Looter ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  10. + ShooterPoor odds51 devs · median $65k · 105 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds41 devs · median $65k · 79 announced
  12. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds21 devs · median $65k · 54 announced

All 16 pairs on the Extraction Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

HELLDIVERS™ 2 2024 · $1.0B ARC Raiders 2025 · $359M Hunt: Showdown 1896 2019 · $192M Escape from Tarkov 2025 · $84M Gray Zone Warfare 2024 · EA · $83M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HELLDIVERS™ 2 older $39.99 838,901 76% 25M $1.0B (exactly $1,006,429,530) Arrowhead Game Studios
ARC Raiders $39.99 299,346 82% 9.0M $359M (exactly $359,125,396) Embark Studios
Hunt: Showdown 1896 older $29.99 213,023 74% 6.4M $192M (exactly $191,656,793) Crytek
Escape from Tarkov $49.99 55,824 49% 1.7M $84M (exactly $83,719,253) Battlestate Games
Gray Zone Warfare · EA older $39.99 69,146 72% 2.1M $83M (exactly $82,954,456) MADFINGER Games, a.s.
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
Far Far West · EA $19.99 31,458 95% 944k $19M (exactly $18,865,363) Evil Raptor
Mistfall Hunter $24.99 16,045 53% 481k $12M (exactly $12,028,936) Bellring Games
SAND: Raiders of Sophie · EA $24.99 12,485 49% 375k $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) Hologryph, TowerHaus
Incursion Red River · EA older $21.99 8,300 76% 249k $5.5M (exactly $5,475,510) Games Of Tomorrow GmbH
Wildgate $29.99 5,032 77% 151k $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) Moonshot Games
The Mound: Omen of Cthulhu $29.99 3,107 69% 93k $2.8M (exactly $2,795,368) ACE Team
Mycopunk · EA $14.99 4,081 88% 122k $1.8M (exactly $1,835,226) Pigeons at Play
Lost Rift · EA $24.99 1,465 67% 44k $1.1M (exactly $1,098,310) People Can Fly

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.