Do I ship it?

Games › Extraction Shooter › Extraction Shooter + Looter Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Extraction Shooter Looter Shooter?

Extraction Shooter + Looter Shooter

Of 31 developers who shipped an Extraction Shooter Looter Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $71k, ×47 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $16k; 1 in 20 cleared $45M, ×30201 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 73 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 47.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 73 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Extraction Shooter + Looter Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.6M → $54k → $4.5M → $219k (still earning) → $15k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Extraction Shooter + Looter Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $15k (exactly $15,467)
Median $71k (exactly $70,861)
Top 25% $1.8M (exactly $1,835,226)
Top 5% $45M (exactly $45,240,892)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 44
Announced 73
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Extraction Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online PvPvE sessions with persistent stash servers
Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Extraction Shooter, Looter Shooter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, PvE
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 200,672 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $16k, median $71k, 1 in 4 over $1.8M, 1 in 20 over $45M.

3 in 10 developers made under $16k. 3 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Extraction Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PvPPoor odds18 devs · median $1.1M · 48 announced
  2. + Online Co-OpPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  3. + FPSPoor odds29 devs · median $219k · 57 announced
  4. + PvEPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  5. + Open WorldPoor odds19 devs · median $101k · 37 announced
  6. + Sci-fiPoor odds26 devs · median $82k · 43 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds25 devs · median $82k · 49 announced
  8. + ExplorationPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  9. + LootPoor odds26 devs · median $81k · 60 announced
  10. + ShooterPoor odds51 devs · median $65k · 105 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds41 devs · median $65k · 79 announced
  12. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds21 devs · median $65k · 54 announced

All 16 pairs on the Extraction Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Escape from Tarkov 2025 · $84M Escape From Duckov 2025 · $45M The Forever Winter 2024 · EA · $19M Marauders 2022 · EA · $12M ZERO Sievert 2024 · $8.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Escape from Tarkov $49.99 55,824 49% 1.7M $84M (exactly $83,719,253) Battlestate Games
Escape From Duckov $17.99 83,826 85% 2.5M $45M (exactly $45,240,892) Team Soda
The Forever Winter · EA $29.99 21,376 68% 641k $19M (exactly $19,231,987) Fun Dog Studios
Marauders · EA older $29.99 13,505 68% 405k $12M (exactly $12,150,448) Small Impact Games
ZERO Sievert $19.99 14,378 84% 431k $8.6M (exactly $8,622,487) CABO Studio
Ghosts of Tabor · EA older $24.99 9,140 70% 274k $6.9M (exactly $6,852,258) Combat Waffle Studios
Incursion Red River · EA older $21.99 8,300 76% 249k $5.5M (exactly $5,475,510) Games Of Tomorrow GmbH
Road to Vostok · EA $19.99 8,646 84% 259k $5.2M (exactly $5,185,006) Road to Vostok Ltd.
Wildgate $29.99 5,032 77% 151k $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) Moonshot Games
SYNDUALITY Echo of Ada $39.99 3,303 40% 99k $4.0M (exactly $3,962,609) Game Studio Inc.
Mycopunk · EA $14.99 4,081 88% 122k $1.8M (exactly $1,835,226) Pigeons at Play
R.I.P. - Reincarnation Insurance Program $14.99 2,727 76% 82k $1.2M (exactly $1,226,332) WarmCore Studio
The Midnight Walkers · EA $19.99 1,479 54% 44k $887k (exactly $886,956) Oneway Ticket Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.