Do I ship it?

Games › Extraction Shooter › Extraction Shooter + Loot

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Extraction Shooter?

Extraction Shooter + Loot

Of 26 developers who shipped a Loot Extraction Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $81k, ×54 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $20k; 1 in 20 cleared $18M, ×12594 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 60 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 54.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 60 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Extraction Shooter + Loot
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.6M → $54k → $887k (still earning) → $64k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Extraction Shooter + Loot: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $19k (exactly $19,272)
Median $81k (exactly $81,449)
Top 25% $1.2M (exactly $1,226,332)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $18,865,363)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 34
Announced 60
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 170% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Extraction Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online PvPvE sessions with persistent stash servers
Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Extraction Shooter, Loot; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvE, Shooter
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 105,396 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $20k, median $81k, 1 in 4 over $1.2M, 1 in 20 over $18M.

3 in 10 developers made under $20k. 4 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Extraction Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PvPPoor odds18 devs · median $1.1M · 48 announced
  2. + Online Co-OpPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  3. + FPSPoor odds29 devs · median $219k · 57 announced
  4. + PvEPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  5. + Open WorldPoor odds19 devs · median $101k · 37 announced
  6. + Sci-fiPoor odds26 devs · median $82k · 43 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds25 devs · median $82k · 49 announced
  8. + ExplorationPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  9. + Looter ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  10. + ShooterPoor odds51 devs · median $65k · 105 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds41 devs · median $65k · 79 announced
  12. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds21 devs · median $65k · 54 announced

All 16 pairs on the Extraction Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Witchfire 2024 · EA · $21M Far Far West 2026 · EA · $19M Marauders 2022 · EA · $12M Mistfall Hunter 2026 · $12M SAND: Raiders of Sophie 2026 · EA · $9.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Witchfire · EA $39.99 17,131 91% 514k $21M (exactly $20,552,061) The Astronauts
Far Far West · EA $19.99 31,458 95% 944k $19M (exactly $18,865,363) Evil Raptor
Marauders · EA older $29.99 13,505 68% 405k $12M (exactly $12,150,448) Small Impact Games
Mistfall Hunter $24.99 16,045 53% 481k $12M (exactly $12,028,936) Bellring Games
SAND: Raiders of Sophie · EA $24.99 12,485 49% 375k $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) Hologryph, TowerHaus
ZERO Sievert $19.99 14,378 84% 431k $8.6M (exactly $8,622,487) CABO Studio
Road to Vostok · EA $19.99 8,646 84% 259k $5.2M (exactly $5,185,006) Road to Vostok Ltd.
R.I.P. - Reincarnation Insurance Program $14.99 2,727 76% 82k $1.2M (exactly $1,226,332) WarmCore Studio
The Midnight Walkers · EA $19.99 1,479 54% 44k $887k (exactly $886,956) Oneway Ticket Studio
Active Matter $29.99 522 75% 16k $470k (exactly $469,643) Matter Team
Warlords Battleground: Extraction $11.99 525 84% 16k $189k (exactly $188,842) 绝汪

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.