Do I ship it?

Games › Naval Combat › Naval Combat + Economy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Economy Naval Combat game?

Naval Combat + Economy

Only 8 developers shipped an Economy Naval Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, City States: Medieval, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×5.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $28k, ×46 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 37 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 37 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Naval Combat + Economy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $1.1k (still earning) → $8.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Naval Combat + Economy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,599)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $18,708)
Top 5% $29k (exactly $28,786)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 30
Announced 37
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Naval Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Naval Combat, Economy
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 24,518 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $28k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 37 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Naval Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + World War IIFair12 devs · median $2.7k · 11 announced
  2. + MilitaryFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 48 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced
  4. + ArcadeLong shot21 devs · median $300 · 25 announced
  5. + Open WorldPoor odds26 devs · median $38k · 80 announced
  6. + CraftingPoor odds11 devs · median $38k · 21 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds6 devs · median $29k · 28 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $29k · 30 announced
  10. + RTSPoor odds20 devs · median $19k · 32 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $17k · 25 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds8 devs · median $17k · 28 announced

All 54 pairs on the Naval Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts 2023 · $7.0M Frozenheim 2022 · $2.1M Sid Meier's Pirates! 2005 · $1.9M Port Royale 4 2020 · $1.7M Windward 2015 · $800k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts older $34.99 6,664 62% 200k $7.0M (exactly $6,995,201) Game-Labs
Frozenheim older $19.99 3,463 70% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,076,761) Paranoid Interactive
Sid Meier's Pirates! older $9.99 6,198 94% 186k $1.9M (exactly $1,857,541) Firaxis Games
Port Royale 4 older $39.99 1,405 56% 42k $1.7M (exactly $1,685,578) Gaming Minds
Windward older $9.99 2,668 79% 80k $800k (exactly $799,600) Tasharen Entertainment Inc.
Blood and Gold: Caribbean! older $19.99 1,188 59% 36k $712k (exactly $712,444) Snowbird Games
Aircraft Carrier Survival older $19.99 1,176 59% 35k $705k (exactly $705,247) Gambit Games Studio
Port Royale 3 older $14.99 1,204 72% 36k $541k (exactly $541,439) Gaming Minds Studios
Republic of Pirates older $24.99 420 70% 13k $315k (exactly $314,874) Crazy Goat Games
Tortuga - A Pirate's Tale older $24.99 132 51% 4.0k $99k (exactly $98,960) Gaming Minds Studios
City States: Medieval $19.99 48 68% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Reverie World Studios
Realms of Madness $15.99 39 89% 1.2k $19k (exactly $18,708) Robin van der Horst
Storm Seas · EA $14.99 19 52% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Dclares Dev
Maximilian Spee · EA $39.99 3 33% 90 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) EUGENE LOPATIN
Crisis Commander: Strait Of Hormuz $3.99 9 77% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Kra Kra Games
Infinite Empire · EA $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Better Tools LLC
发现时代 Age Of Discovery $3.99 7 100% 210 $838 (exactly $838) PuTianZhiXia
Windward Isles $13.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Meridian Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.