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Should I ship a PvE Dynamic Narration game?
PvE + Dynamic Narration
Of 20 developers who shipped a PvE Dynamic Narration game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 12 developers shipped in the last year and 41 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $359 (exactly $359) |
| Top 25% | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) |
| Top 5% | $32k (exactly $31,940) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 41 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvE
- effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
- Dynamic Narration
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- PvE, Dynamic Narration; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Choices Matter, Combat
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 655 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + TypingFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + HeistPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + NavalPoor odds
- + SpaceshipsPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Linguist FPS - The Language Learning FPS | older | $14.99 | 192 71% | 5.8k | $86k (exactly $86,342) | Rocket Boy Games |
| | Writer's Rush | older | $5.99 | 402 74% | 12k | $72k (exactly $72,239) | Frogstorm |
| | 5 NIGHTS AT SHALUN 4: SCHOOL | $1.99 | 535 93% | 16k | $32k (exactly $31,940) | Team GZ, VADIM CHURILOV | |
| | NAPOLEON: RULE OF IRON | $19.99 | 22 90% | 660 | $13k (exactly $13,193) | Eisengeist Studio | |
| | Five nights at Floppa 0 | older | $3.99 | 106 96% | 3.2k | $13k (exactly $12,688) | FreezyCat |
| | Steel Knight's ARMIS | $9.99 | 40 57% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,988) | Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES | |
| | Yosemite Forest Ranger | · EA older | $14.99 | 15 60% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | TT Studios |
| | DawnWander | · EA older | $9.99 | 17 23% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | DarkTree Development |
| | Empire of Vice : Chicago | · EA | $16.99 | 9 77% | 270 | $4.6k (exactly $4,587) | Artifex Parvus |
| | NARGUL - Humans are among us | older | $11.99 | 9 66% | 270 | $3.2k (exactly $3,237) | 3DDD Games |
| | Hate-Gem Rise Of Demon | · EA | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | ElLeonGamer |
| | Domain of Hallucination | · EA | $2.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $628 (exactly $628) | Livio Cozzio, Marcel Schürch, Carla Wid… (Livio Cozzio, Marcel Schürch, Carla Widmer, Jonas Wiesli, rnaisa) |
| | Hentai Clicker: Maria is streaming | $2.99 | 7 57% | 210 | $628 (exactly $628) | Sexy Baguette Studio | |
| | Gems are Mine, Slashes are Yours: Blood & Blessing | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | DIM Games | |
| | Kill Dee | $0.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $505 (exactly $505) | BYE BYE, BUYBYEGames | |
| | Hentai Clicker: Nina is streaming | $2.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | Sexy Baguette Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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