Do I ship it?

Games › Shooter › Shooter + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Shooter?

Shooter + Dogs

Of 21 developers who shipped a Dog Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 53380% on the market, 15 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $17k → $2.1k → $59 → $958 → $298 → $148 (still earning) → $898 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $958 (exactly $958)
Top 5% $113k (exactly $112,875)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 68
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 220% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Arcade
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, Linear
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 2,303 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Watch_Dogs™ 2014 · $30M Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 3 (2011) 2011 · $19M Call of Duty®: Ghosts 2014 · $16M Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition 2014 · $13M Necromunda: Hired Gun 2021 · $7.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Watch_Dogs™ older $19.99 49,193 79% 1.5M $30M (exactly $29,501,042) Ubisoft
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 3 (2011) older $39.99 15,588 90% 468k $19M (exactly $18,700,924) Infinity Ward, Sledgehammer Games
Call of Duty®: Ghosts older $39.99 12,976 66% 389k $16M (exactly $15,567,307) Infinity Ward
Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition older $39.99 11,103 64% 333k $13M (exactly $13,320,269) Sledgehammer Games, Raven Software
Necromunda: Hired Gun older $39.99 5,892 68% 177k $7.1M (exactly $7,068,632) Streum On Studio
Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 older $29.99 2,258 84% 68k $2.0M (exactly $2,031,523) Vertigo Games
Way of the Hunter 2 · EA $34.99 1,534 73% 46k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240) Nine Rocks Games
Hunting Simulator 2 older $39.99 904 70% 27k $1.1M (exactly $1,084,529) Nacon Studio Ghent
PewDiePie: Legend of the Brofist older $7.99 1,346 91% 40k $323k (exactly $322,636) Outerminds Inc.
Duck Season PC older $9.99 1,029 93% 31k $308k (exactly $308,391) Stress Level Zero
Wild Blue Skies $14.99 251 58% 7.5k $113k (exactly $112,875) Chuhai Labs, VITEI BACKROOM Inc.
The Pale Mimic $7.99 345 86% 10k $83k (exactly $82,696) Dark Snow Games
Fright Train $15.99 139 89% 4.2k $67k (exactly $66,678) WildArts Games
Peraglees - The Ooloufian Resistance $3.99 12 91% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) DPADFTW
Fully Dogomatic $3.99 8 87% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Tommy Keys
Corgi Survivor $5.99 5 100% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Symbolic
The Cute the Baldy and the Fluffy $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) lightUP
KESU-JI $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) peakvox, O-TWO inc.
Adorable Dog: Gnomeageddon $1.99 5 100% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Outer Pixels

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.