Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Shooter?

Shooter + Vampires

Of 38 developers who shipped a Vampire Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 41 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 41 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.9k → $899 → $150 → $1.3k → $0 → $659 (still earning) → $105k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,346)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,778)
Top 5% $441k (exactly $440,779)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 99
Announced 41
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Bullet Hell, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 8,446 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $440k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  4. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  5. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  6. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  7. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  10. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced
  12. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $84k · 47 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Evil West older $49.99 10,215 74% 306k $15M (exactly $15,319,436) Flying Wild Hog
Redfall older $39.99 2,460 40% 74k $3.0M (exactly $2,951,262) Arkane Austin
Touhou Koumakyou: New Classic - the Embodiment of Scarlet Devil $17.99 3,740 98% 112k $2.0M (exactly $2,018,478) 上海アリス幻樂団, 上海アリスReprise
DEADBOLT older $9.99 4,852 96% 146k $1.5M (exactly $1,454,144) Hopoo Games
BloodRayne: Terminal Cut older $14.99 1,593 90% 48k $716k (exactly $716,372) Terminal Reality
Eternal Evil older $29.99 545 74% 16k $490k (exactly $490,336) Honor Games
Priest Simulator: Vampire Show $19.99 735 94% 22k $441k (exactly $440,779) Asmodev
Rocket Rats $5.99 2,388 94% 72k $429k (exactly $429,124) Gagonfe
Goobies older $5.99 1,866 90% 56k $335k (exactly $335,320) Höganäs Spel
Judge Dredd: Dredd vs. Death older $7.99 1,127 88% 34k $270k (exactly $270,142) Rebellion
Touhou ~Red Empress Devil. $8.99 438 70% 13k $118k (exactly $118,129) STUDIO POCO
Internet Survivor Survivors $14.99 234 75% 7.0k $105k (exactly $105,230) ビートまりお / COOL&CREATE
Touhou Koumakyou: Classic - the Embodiment of Scarlet Devil $17.99 188 98% 5.6k $101k (exactly $101,464) 上海アリス幻樂団, 上海アリスReprise
Blood Vial $4.99 329 96% 9.9k $49k (exactly $49,251) Dillon Steyl
Chaos Faction Legacy Collection $4.99 234 93% 7.0k $35k (exactly $35,030) George "EON" Eade
Blood High! $5.99 129 81% 3.9k $23k (exactly $23,181) ALLAF GAMES
Vampire Hunter: Nightrise $14.99 31 93% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Over The Moon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.