Do I ship it?

Games › Shooter › Shooter + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Shooter?

Shooter + Collectathon

Of 69 developers who shipped a Collectathon Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 64 games are announced against 38 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 350% on the market, 64 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 69
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $3.6k → $899 → $2.9k → $359 → $564 → $13k (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 69
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,795)
Top 5% $424k (exactly $423,580)
Developers, 2 yr 69
Released games 186
Announced 64
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Collectathon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 6,301 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 38 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  4. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  5. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  6. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  7. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  10. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced
  12. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $84k · 47 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Supraland 2019 · $7.4M Supraland Six Inches Under 2022 · $2.4M Squirrel with a Gun 2024 · $1.9M Supraworld 2025 · EA · $1.3M Soundfall 2022 · $896k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Supraland older $19.99 12,376 95% 371k $7.4M (exactly $7,421,887) Supra Games
Supraland Six Inches Under older $19.99 3,975 96% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) Supra Games
Squirrel with a Gun older $19.99 3,112 86% 93k $1.9M (exactly $1,866,266) Dee Dee Creations LLC
Supraworld · EA $29.99 1,471 91% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,459) Supra Games
Soundfall older $29.99 996 73% 30k $896k (exactly $896,101) Drastic Games
Sapphire Safari · EA $12.99 1,653 92% 50k $644k (exactly $644,174) Kinky Fridays
CICADAMATA" $9.99 1,419 96% 43k $425k (exactly $425,274) ✿ flowergarden
BLACKWOOD $24.99 565 46% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) AttritoM7 Productions
Rise of the Triad: Ludicrous Edition older $19.99 678 93% 20k $407k (exactly $406,597) Nightdive Studios, Apogee Software, New… (Nightdive Studios, Apogee Software, New Blood Interactive)
Night Raider older $5.99 1,908 85% 57k $343k (exactly $342,868) TSUKUYOMIC
Maiden Cops $9.99 282 87% 8.5k $85k (exactly $84,515) Pippin Games
Abyss Kitchen $11.99 202 89% 6.1k $73k (exactly $72,659) Pico Games
Deadline Escape · EA $4.99 433 84% 13k $65k (exactly $64,820) DeadlineEscape
ENCHAIN · EA $19.99 94 96% 2.8k $56k (exactly $56,372) mattlawrdev
Baking Bad · EA $10.99 123 32% 3.7k $41k (exactly $40,553) FunkyArmor
Blood Facsimile · EA $17.99 59 98% 1.8k $32k (exactly $31,842) Rene McCarthy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.