Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Walking Simulator Shooter?

Shooter + Walking Simulator

Of 68 developers who shipped a Walking Simulator Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $480. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 62 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 62 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 68
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $356 → $3.0k → $3.0k → $2.4k → $1.2k → $1.3k → $1.8k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 68
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $9.3k (exactly $9,348)
Top 5% $139k (exactly $138,703)
Developers, 2 yr 68
Released games 226
Announced 62
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Walking Simulator; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Realistic, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 11,707 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $9.3k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 40 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  5. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  6. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  7. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  10. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced
  12. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $84k · 47 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ older $19.99 170,472 89% 5.1M $102M (exactly $102,232,058) Expansive Worlds
Longvinter $19.99 6,951 68% 209k $4.2M (exactly $4,168,515) Uuvana Studios
CastleMiner Z older $5.99 7,939 83% 238k $1.4M (exactly $1,426,638) DigitalDNA Games
Hail to the Rainbow $14.99 2,533 90% 76k $1.1M (exactly $1,139,090) Носков Сергей
Hunt Down The Freeman older $9.99 3,785 54% 114k $1.1M (exactly $1,134,364) Royal Rudius Entertainment
35MM older $8.99 3,508 71% 105k $946k (exactly $946,108) Носков Сергей
GET EVEN older $29.99 923 76% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) The Farm 51
Takedown: Red Sabre older $4.99 3,550 41% 107k $531k (exactly $531,435) Serellan LLC
Squirrel Stapler older $7.99 2,062 96% 62k $494k (exactly $494,261) David Szymanski
Pih older $8.99 1,767 94% 53k $477k (exactly $476,560) BecomeANobody
It Takes a War $5.99 885 91% 27k $159k (exactly $159,034) Thomas Mackinnon
Project: Mist · EA $17.99 257 72% 7.7k $139k (exactly $138,703) Chicken Launcher
Virtual Hunter $24.99 173 71% 5.2k $130k (exactly $129,698) Korpi Games Oy
Project Songbird $14.99 195 85% 5.9k $88k (exactly $87,692) FYRE Games, Conner Rush
The Pale Mimic $7.99 345 86% 10k $83k (exactly $82,696) Dark Snow Games
Miami Paradise 2 $14.99 131 94% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Entropy Digital Entertainment
CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights · EA $13.99 68 55% 2.0k $29k (exactly $28,540) Hed Media Games
Poop Killer - Flush or Die $4.99 169 92% 5.1k $25k (exactly $25,299) 616 GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.