Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Boss Rush

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boss Rush Shooter?

Shooter + Boss Rush

Only 16 developers shipped a Boss Rush Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Terminator 2D: NO FATE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 20 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Boss Rush
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $46k → $9.0k → $537 → $42k → $479 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Boss Rush: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $537 (exactly $537)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,846)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,304,565)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 40
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 335% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Boss Rush
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Boss Rush
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,672 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $540, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  10. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced
  12. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $84k · 47 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Terminator 2D: NO FATE $29.99 1,450 84% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,304,565) Bitmap Bureau
Air Twister older $24.99 101 93% 3.0k $76k (exactly $75,720) YS NET
Prison City older $9.99 152 84% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,554) Retroware, Programancer
ZOE Begone! $9.99 141 100% 4.2k $42k (exactly $42,258) Retchy Games
Godstrike older $5.99 180 66% 5.4k $32k (exactly $32,346) OverPowered Team
Roto Force older $7.99 96 90% 2.9k $23k (exactly $23,011) Accidently Awesome
Space Elite Force II older $5.99 88 89% 2.6k $16k (exactly $15,814) Rising Moon Games
TYRONE SOULZ older $1.95 178 86% 5.3k $10k (exactly $10,413) Team SNEED
Twinkle Hunter older $11.99 25 100% 750 $9.0k (exactly $8,992) Silver Cat
Super Gear Quest older $14.99 18 88% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Blob Games
Gravity Storm: First Mission $9.99 27 100% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Jampley Games
Baseless $12.99 15 93% 450 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Fermenter Games
Snack Invaders · EA $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Whippy Games
Bobble and the Tri-Crystal $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) HenryNova
Kill Source: Neon Hemorrhage $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Berihime Studio
BLOOD=BULLETS $1.99 9 100% 270 $537 (exactly $537) Slendykray
FAR FROM DEAD $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Brian O'Keefe
Code Breaker $2.99 5 80% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Morgan Campbell

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.