Do I ship it?

GamesTraditional RoguelikeTraditional Roguelike + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Traditional Roguelike?

Traditional Roguelike + Demons

Only 14 developers shipped a Demon Traditional Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Jupiter Hell Classic, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×218 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Traditional Roguelike + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Traditional Roguelike + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,792)
Top 5% $103k (exactly $103,431)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 25
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Traditional Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Traditional Roguelike; all of the top 25% also carry Dungeon Crawler, RPG, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 468 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Traditional Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair15 devs · median $2.9k · 19 announced
  2. + Procedural GenerationFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + CRPGFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  4. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 55 announced
  5. + Turn-Based CombatFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  6. + Sci-fiFair26 devs · median $1.4k · 23 announced
  7. + TacticalFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  8. + FantasyFair99 devs · median $898 · 125 announced
  9. + Turn-Based StrategyFair63 devs · median $779 · 101 announced
  10. + Turn-Based TacticsFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  11. + RoguelikeFair247 devs · median $599 · 314 announced
  12. + StrategyFair152 devs · median $599 · 207 announced

All 54 pairs on the Traditional Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Jupiter Hell older $24.99 1,795 91% 54k $1.3M (exactly $1,345,712) ChaosForge
Tavern of Gods older $9.99 775 77% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Element Studio
Endgame of Devil older $6.99 964 88% 29k $202k (exactly $202,151) MiniWhale
Jupiter Hell Classic · EA $14.99 230 95% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) ChaosForge
Lost in Prayer · EA $19.99 92 80% 2.8k $55k (exactly $55,172) Nine Dots Studio
Deadzoned · EA $4.99 66 98% 2.0k $9.9k (exactly $9,880) caiys
DeAnima $9.99 26 84% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Steelgaze Studio
Dwarf Looter older $5.99 33 100% 990 $5.9k (exactly $5,930) Orbi Universo Team
Cult of Shadows $14.99 11 72% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Squirrel Tail Games
Mangui $5.99 25 100% 750 $4.5k (exactly $4,492) Damulchi
Cat Survivors $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Ibon Studios
The Beast Is Yet To Come · EA $7.99 3 33% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Mileo.io
Eternal Price: Whispers of Mystery · EA $3.99 4 25% 120 $479 (exactly $479) 逐梦工作室
HOTSHOTS $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Zelinskiy Mikhail

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.