Do I ship it?

GamesIncrementalIncremental + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Incremental game?

Incremental + Demons

Of 33 developers who shipped a Demon Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $46k, ×98 the market median. Revenue is up 800% on the market; 47 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 800% on the market, 47 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Incremental + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $36k → $599 → $239 → $718 → $799 (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Incremental + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $540 (exactly $540)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $47k (exactly $46,502)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 80
Announced 47
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 800% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Incremental; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Adventure, Economy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 1,129 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $540, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $46k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds15 devs · median $11k · 12 announced
  2. + OtomeStrong odds12 devs · median $7.0k · 11 announced
  3. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $6.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FarmingFair21 devs · median $5.9k · 23 announced
  5. + Dynamic NarrationFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  6. + MiningFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair140 devs · median $3.1k · 136 announced
  10. + UndergroundFair27 devs · median $3.0k · 35 announced
  11. + LootFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  12. + SupernaturalFair33 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced

All 188 pairs on the Incremental page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Book of Demons older $24.99 8,010 91% 240k $6.0M (exactly $6,005,097) Thing Trunk
I'm on Observation Duty 6 older $11.99 652 94% 20k $235k (exactly $234,524) Notovia, Dreamloop Games
Kon's Lesson! older $9.99 560 88% 17k $168k (exactly $167,832) Fox House
Gnomes Garden older $14.99 262 87% 7.9k $118k (exactly $117,821) Workroom7, Creobit
Loot Tycoon · EA $6.99 544 71% 16k $114k (exactly $114,077) Parallel Portal
Taimanin Yukikaze older $14.99 192 88% 5.8k $86k (exactly $86,342) Lilith
Sex with Succubus ❤️‍🔥 older $9.99 176 50% 5.3k $53k (exactly $52,747) Octo Games
Snowed Under | 雪葬 $7.99 194 60% 5.8k $47k (exactly $46,502) Chilla's Art
Succubus: SEX Story older $9.99 119 66% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,664) Octo Games
Dungeon Devotion $3.99 245 83% 7.4k $29k (exactly $29,326) Pink Tea
BreakEven - Idle · EA $4.99 39 58% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) NKnives
Project: Mirror 2 $4.99 25 44% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) 430Games
Hidden Heir $4.99 21 66% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) AYS CODE YAZILIM
Bottomless Pit Supervisor $4.99 17 58% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) sudo make
Idle Harem Dungeon $6.99 12 41% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Cheedle
Overlord’s Harvest $4.99 16 25% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) ISSA Game
Venomous Dalliances 💚 $4.99 16 93% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) TheBigO Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.