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Should I ship a Demon Incremental game?
Incremental + Demons
Of 33 developers who shipped a Demon Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $46k, ×98 the market median. Revenue is up 800% on the market; 47 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $540 (exactly $540) |
| Top 25% | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) |
| Top 5% | $47k (exactly $46,502) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 33 |
| Released games | 80 |
| Announced | 47 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 800% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
- Demons
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Incremental; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Adventure, Economy
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 70% positive over 1,129 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + OtomeStrong odds
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + FarmingFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + LootFair
- + SupernaturalFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Book of Demons | older | $24.99 | 8,010 91% | 240k | $6.0M (exactly $6,005,097) | Thing Trunk |
| | I'm on Observation Duty 6 | older | $11.99 | 652 94% | 20k | $235k (exactly $234,524) | Notovia, Dreamloop Games |
| | Kon's Lesson! | older | $9.99 | 560 88% | 17k | $168k (exactly $167,832) | Fox House |
| | Gnomes Garden | older | $14.99 | 262 87% | 7.9k | $118k (exactly $117,821) | Workroom7, Creobit |
| | Loot Tycoon | · EA | $6.99 | 544 71% | 16k | $114k (exactly $114,077) | Parallel Portal |
| | Taimanin Yukikaze | older | $14.99 | 192 88% | 5.8k | $86k (exactly $86,342) | Lilith |
| | Sex with Succubus ❤️🔥 | older | $9.99 | 176 50% | 5.3k | $53k (exactly $52,747) | Octo Games |
| | Snowed Under | 雪葬 | $7.99 | 194 60% | 5.8k | $47k (exactly $46,502) | Chilla's Art | |
| | Succubus: SEX Story | older | $9.99 | 119 66% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $35,664) | Octo Games |
| | Dungeon Devotion | $3.99 | 245 83% | 7.4k | $29k (exactly $29,326) | Pink Tea | |
| | BreakEven - Idle | · EA | $4.99 | 39 58% | 1.2k | $5.8k (exactly $5,838) | NKnives |
| | Project: Mirror 2 | $4.99 | 25 44% | 750 | $3.7k (exactly $3,742) | 430Games | |
| | Hidden Heir | $4.99 | 21 66% | 630 | $3.1k (exactly $3,144) | AYS CODE YAZILIM | |
| | Bottomless Pit Supervisor | $4.99 | 17 58% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | sudo make | |
| | Idle Harem Dungeon | $6.99 | 12 41% | 360 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Cheedle | |
| | Overlord’s Harvest | $4.99 | 16 25% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | ISSA Game | |
| | Venomous Dalliances 💚 | $4.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | TheBigO Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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