Do I ship it?

GamesDeckbuildingDeckbuilding + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Deckbuilding?

Deckbuilding + Word Game

Of 29 developers who shipped a Word Game Deckbuilding in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×5.0 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×661 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 30 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 30 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Deckbuilding + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.4k → $31k → $2.4k → $1.8k (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Deckbuilding + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $25,408)
Top 5% $314k (exactly $313,891)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 35
Announced 30
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Deckbuilding, Word Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Card Game, Strategy
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 8,521 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Deckbuilding with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair44 devs · median $2.8k · 51 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  3. + ArcadeFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Party GameFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  6. + SwordplayFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair34 devs · median $598 · 36 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair53 devs · median $537 · 79 announced
  9. + LogicFair84 devs · median $419 · 118 announced
  10. + LovecraftianPoor odds19 devs · median $72k · 56 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $30k · 31 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds36 devs · median $26k · 64 announced

All 141 pairs on the Deckbuilding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Matchmaking Inc. $8.99 5,773 87% 173k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,978) Wave Games
Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't $14.99 698 95% 21k $314k (exactly $313,891) Buried Things
Word Play $7.99 1,010 89% 30k $242k (exactly $242,097) Game Maker's Toolkit
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
スペルトナエル older $8.99 344 97% 10k $93k (exactly $92,777) おまど
Beyond Words $14.99 102 84% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) MindFuel Games
Гвалт $7.99 151 93% 4.5k $36k (exactly $36,195) maxter
TypInc. $9.99 102 74% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,569) Game Game Games
全网有点怪 $7.99 106 66% 3.2k $25k (exactly $25,408) Aluba Van+
Tomb of the Bloodletter $7.99 100 88% 3.0k $24k (exactly $23,970) Ethan's Secretions
Birdigo - bird word game $9.99 78 84% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) John August, Corey Martin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.