Do I ship it?

GamesDeckbuildingDeckbuilding + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Deckbuilding?

Deckbuilding + Supernatural

Of 21 developers who shipped a Supernatural Deckbuilding in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.9k, ×10 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $77k, ×163 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 45 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.4 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 45 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Deckbuilding + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $538 → $55k → $240 → $8.6k → $629 (still earning) → $10k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Deckbuilding + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $4.9k (exactly $4,940)
Top 25% $30k (exactly $30,130)
Top 5% $77k (exactly $77,348)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 36
Announced 45
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Deckbuilding; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,076 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $4.9k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $77k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Deckbuilding with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair44 devs · median $2.8k · 51 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  3. + ArcadeFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Party GameFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  6. + SwordplayFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair34 devs · median $598 · 36 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair53 devs · median $537 · 79 announced
  9. + LogicFair84 devs · median $419 · 118 announced
  10. + LovecraftianPoor odds19 devs · median $72k · 56 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $30k · 31 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds36 devs · median $26k · 64 announced

All 141 pairs on the Deckbuilding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marvel's Midnight Suns older $59.99 17,060 82% 512k $31M (exactly $30,702,882) Firaxis Games
Erannorth Reborn older $17.99 386 84% 12k $208k (exactly $208,324) Spyridon Thalassinos
Necroking older $4.99 857 81% 26k $128k (exactly $128,293) KORO.GAMES
Exorcism Agency $12.99 222 91% 6.7k $87k (exactly $86,513) YINGGUO GAME
Malys $14.99 172 79% 5.2k $77k (exactly $77,348) Summerfall Studios
THE SPIRIT LIFT $19.99 118 94% 3.5k $71k (exactly $70,765) prettysmart games
I will purify you $13.99 141 78% 4.2k $59k (exactly $59,178) Cheese Burger Studio
Deck of Souls $11.99 153 84% 4.6k $55k (exactly $55,034) Bigboot Studios
The Monster Within older $14.99 89 77% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) GMO Free Games
Morningstar: Book of the Fallen $14.99 67 94% 2.0k $30k (exactly $30,130) Droid Productions
Desktop Detective $4.99 144 88% 4.3k $22k (exactly $21,557) Conradical Games
Futa Succubus Slay! $12.99 26 65% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) Npolish
Cult Leader Simulator $17.99 16 50% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Nhneno
Soul Demon Hunters $11.99 17 88% 510 $6.1k (exactly $6,115) Cheese Burger Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.