Do I ship it?

GamesDeckbuildingDeckbuilding + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Deckbuilding?

Deckbuilding + Mythology

Of 52 developers who shipped a Mythological Deckbuilding in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 113 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×182 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 113 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 113 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Deckbuilding + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $4.3k → $3.8k → $20k → $2.4k → $7.3k → $4.9k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Deckbuilding + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,160)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,195)
Top 5% $114k (exactly $114,224)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 108
Announced 113
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Deckbuilding; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Roguelite
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 4,713 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 113 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Deckbuilding with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair44 devs · median $2.8k · 51 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  3. + ArcadeFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Party GameFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  6. + SwordplayFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair34 devs · median $598 · 36 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair53 devs · median $537 · 79 announced
  9. + LogicFair84 devs · median $419 · 118 announced
  10. + LovecraftianPoor odds19 devs · median $72k · 56 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $30k · 31 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds36 devs · median $26k · 64 announced

All 141 pairs on the Deckbuilding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
暖雪 Warm Snow older $17.99 35,270 92% 1.1M $19M (exactly $19,035,219) BadMudStudio
Black Book older $24.99 5,306 93% 159k $4.0M (exactly $3,977,908) Morteshka
Aces & Adventures older $19.99 2,220 89% 67k $1.3M (exactly $1,331,334) Triple.B.Titles
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
Journey to the West older $19.99 1,470 79% 44k $882k (exactly $881,559) Z Studio
Warriors of the Nile 2 older $14.99 1,180 88% 35k $531k (exactly $530,646) Stove Studio
Half-Demon Shinobi $10.99 1,242 89% 37k $409k (exactly $409,487) 樹懶叫工作室, 紳士吉娃, Maker製造機
Pyrene older $14.99 676 92% 20k $304k (exactly $303,997) Two Tiny Dice
Tavern of Gods older $9.99 775 77% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Element Studio
Ancient Gods older $19.99 275 62% 8.3k $165k (exactly $164,918) Hexpion
Gods vs Horrors $14.99 254 75% 7.6k $114k (exactly $114,224) Oriol Cosp Games
Hungry Horrors · EA $14.99 209 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $93,987) Clumsy Bear Studio
These Doomed Isles $14.99 180 66% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Triplevision Games Limited
Guardians of Dao · EA $19.99 63 74% 1.9k $38k (exactly $37,781) George Financial Holding Ltd.
Relief $9.99 112 70% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Billiontail
Talespinner $14.99 53 71% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Flash Cat Games
Cultivation Story: Infinite Sword Realm · EA $14.99 48 75% 1.4k $22k (exactly $21,586) Bid Pond Studio Ltd.
玉言·离光 $6.99 94 67% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,712) DawnLight Workshop

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.