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Should I ship a Martial-Arts Deckbuilding?
Deckbuilding + Martial Arts
Of 24 developers who shipped a Martial-Arts Deckbuilding in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.7k, ×7.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×378 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 23 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $537 (exactly $537) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) |
| Top 25% | $38k (exactly $37,781) |
| Top 5% | $237k (exactly $237,130) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Deckbuilding
- effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
- Martial Arts
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Deckbuilding; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelite, RPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 8,145 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Deckbuilding with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + 2D FighterFair
- + Party GameFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + LogicFair
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Visual NovelPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 暖雪 Warm Snow | older | $17.99 | 35,270 92% | 1.1M | $19M (exactly $19,035,219) | BadMudStudio |
| | The Matchless Kungfu | $19.99 | 6,755 79% | 203k | $4.1M (exactly $4,050,973) | HuanMos Game | |
| | Fights in Tight Spaces | older | $24.99 | 3,545 90% | 106k | $2.7M (exactly $2,657,686) | Ground Shatter |
| | 天外武林 (Traveler of Wuxia) | older | $24.99 | 3,151 85% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,362,305) | 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司 |
| | Nitro Kid | older | $19.99 | 410 89% | 12k | $246k (exactly $245,877) | Wildboy Studios |
| | Backpack Jianghu | $13.99 | 565 80% | 17k | $237k (exactly $237,130) | 背包工作室 | |
| | Ultimate Hero | $9.99 | 184 65% | 5.5k | $55k (exactly $55,145) | Fishwharf | |
| | 大宋英雄传(SongHeros) | · EA | $9.99 | 161 79% | 4.8k | $48k (exactly $48,252) | LazyManGameStudio |
| | 2 Fights in 2 Tight Spaces | · EA | $12.99 | 115 84% | 3.5k | $45k (exactly $44,816) | Ground Shatter |
| | Guardians of Dao | · EA | $19.99 | 63 74% | 1.9k | $38k (exactly $37,781) | George Financial Holding Ltd. |
| | Morningstar: Book of the Fallen | $14.99 | 67 94% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $30,130) | Droid Productions | |
| | The King Of Truancy | $9.99 | 68 79% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $20,380) | Qulong Game | |
| | Kungfu Card | · EA | $4.99 | 125 73% | 3.8k | $19k (exactly $18,712) | ZeroCastle Game Studio, Miwu Studio |
| | Punch to Glory | $6.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $8.8k (exactly $8,807) | Musa GUNGOR |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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